FNUS73 KMPX 201244
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR HORSE LAKE...U.S. FISH & WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
744 AM CDT FRI APR 20 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

HORSE LAKE IS RIGHT ON THE EDGE OF CLOUD COVER IN WESTERN
MINNESOTA. I SEE IN 7AM OBSERVATION THE REMARK CALL FOR CLEAR
SKIES...WHICH SHOULD BE THE CASE ALL DAY TODAY. IN FACT...MORE
CLOUDS EXPECTED ALREADY BY THIS MORNING. THIS WILL SLOW THE WARM
UP AND KEEP THE RH A BIT HIGHER THAN IT WOULD NORMALLY GET TO.
WIND IS NEAR CALM BUT SHOULD END UP WITH A LIGHT NORTH COMPONENT
TO THE WIND. THE WIND COULD AT TIMES BE LIGHT AND SOMEWHAT
VARIABLE GIVEN THE OVERALL WEAK FLOW TODAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURE.........42 AT IGNITION...MAX 55.
RH..................53 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 5 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1700-41000).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............36     44     50     53     55     54
RH..............69     53     39     38     37     38
20 FT WIND......NE 3   N 5    N 5    N 5    N 5    N 3
20 FT WIND GUST.5                                  5
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      3      4      5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY THEN
                    BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 41.
RH..................MAX 79 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. LIGHT RAIN LIKELY. CHANCE OF
                    RAIN 70 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 54.
RH..................MIN 61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20
                    MPH UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (17700-53200).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-2600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3100-4100 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 13 TO 22 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
                    AROUND 12 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...WFO MPX
REQUESTED BY...PHIL MILLETTE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120420.HORSE.01/MPX