FNUS73 KAPX 211516
FWSAPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR MERIDIAN UNIT 2...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1116 AM EDT SAT APR 21 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 EDT ON APRIL 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SAME ISSUES AS WITH NEARBY LOLI BURN...ONLY REAL CONCERN
IS GUSTY WINDS FROM THE NORTHEAST...GUSTS OF 15 TO 19 MPH EXPECTED
INTO EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN GUSTS DIMINISHING TO 12 TO 15 MPH AFTER
2 PM.  MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL MAKE A RUN AT 25 PERCENT
TODAY WITH DEW POINTS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN THE TEENS.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........48 AT IGNITION...MAX 51.
RH..................32 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 10
                    MPH.  GUSTS TO 20 MPH THROUGH 2 PM...THEN
                    TO 15 MPH THEREAFTER.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 14 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 5300-5800
                    FT AGL.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (700) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT
                    (700).

TIME (EDT)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........2   8   7   5   5
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............48  49  50  50  51
RH..............32  29  27  27  26
20 FT WIND DIR..NE  NE  NE  NE  N
20 FT WIND SPD..9   9   9   8   8
20 FT WIND GUST.20  20  15  15  15
SMOKE DISP......700 600 600 600 600

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 25.
RH..................MAX 88 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........8   7   6   9   14  16  17  19  20  20  20  20
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............51  49  46  42  38  34  32  31  29  27  26  26
RH..............25  28  34  40  47  55  62  68  75  81  85  85
20 FT WIND DIR..N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N   N   N   N   NE
20 FT WIND SPD..7   6   6   4   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  10  10  10  5   5   5   5   5   5   5

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 50.
RH..................MIN 33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........20     20     26     30     36     28
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............26     30     40     46     48     50
RH..............88     78     55     42     34     33
20 FT WIND......NE 2   NE 3   NE 4   NE 5   NE 5   NE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      10     10     10     10

$$
FORECASTER...JOHN BORIS
REQUESTED BY...JOHN ELLIOTT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120421.MERID.01/APX