FNUS74 KEPZ 221512
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR TUB PEAK...SILVER CITY DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
912 AM MDT SUN APR 22 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0849 MDT ON APRIL 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LITTLE CHANGE EXPECTED THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS AN UPPER RIDGE WILL
DOMINATE THE WEATHER PATTERN OVER THE REGION. TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN IN THE UPPER 70S TO AROUND 80 EACH DAY WITH WINDS GENERALLY
LIGHT AND TERRAIN DRIVEN TODAY BUT PICKING UP OUT OF THE WEST
ON MONDAY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE EACH
OF THE NEXT TWO AFTERNOONS...BUT WITH LIMITED MOISTURE THERE COULD
BE SOME DRY LIGHTNING. LITTLE CHANGE EXPECTED GOING INTO THE MIDDLE
OF THE WEEK EXCEPT A GRADUAL INCREASE IN WINDS AS AN UPPER LOW
MOVES OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST AND CROSSES TO THE NORTH OF THE BURN AREA.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81.
MIN HUMIDITY........8-13 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE UP TO 5 MPH BECOMING UPSLOPE 2 TO 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL TO 15400-16200 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 KNOTS.
VENT RATE...........GOOD.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................10 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
MAX HUMIDITY........47-52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......13600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 3 KNOTS.


.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 10 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.
MIN HUMIDITY........8-13 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 16300-18000 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 KNOTS.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT.


$$
FORECASTER...GRZYWACZ
REQUESTED BY...IC
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120422.TUBPE.01/EPZ