FNUS75 KRIW 220546 FWSRIW SPOT FORECAST FOR POLE CREEK RX...USFS, BRIDGER-TETON NF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY 1146 PM MDT SAT APR 21 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 MDT ON APRIL 22. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...TODAY'S WEATHER WILL BE SIMILAR TO SATURDAY'S WEATHER WITH ONE EXCEPTION. THERE WILL BE MORE CLOUDS BUILDING OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN THIS AFTERNOON AFTER 1400. WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL FORM AFTER 1500 THROUGH SUNSET THIS EVENING. AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM CANNOT BE RULED OUT AS WELL FROM 1500 UNTIL SUNSET. GUSTY WIND TO AS HIGH AS 40 MPH WILL BE A THREAT IF A SHOWER OR STORM OCCURS NEAR THE BURN AREA. THE WEATHER ON MONDAY WILL BE SIMILAR TO TODAY. CLOUDS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN AFTER 1300 WITH THE THREAT OF SHOWERS OR A THUNDERSTORM FROM 1400 THROUGH SUNSET. AGAIN THE WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH WILL BE A THREAT IF THIS ACTIVITY OCCURS NEAR THE BURN AREA. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... ...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT... FORECASTER...AR .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1300. THEN PARTLY CLOUDY. WIDELY SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1500. MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-67. MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST AT 4 TO 9 MPH UNTIL 1100. THEN WEST TO SOUTHWEST AT 12 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 20 AND 25 MPH AFTER 1100. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS TO 40 MPH EXPECTED NEAR ANY SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH UNTIL 1100. THEN WEST TO SOUTHWEST AT 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 25 MPH AFTER 1100. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1500...THEN 2. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.3 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 5000-6000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST TO WEST AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL 1100. WEST AROUND 15 MPH AFTER 1100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING FAIR BY 1100...INCREASING TO GOOD BY 1400. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100. MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-43. MAX HUMIDITY........72-77 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST TO SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH UNTIL 2100. THEN WEST TO SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH UNTIL 2300. THEN VARIABLE AT 3 TO 6 MPH AFTER 2300. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS TO 40 MPH NEAR ANY SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST TO SOUTHWEST AT 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 25 MPH UNTIL 2100. THEN WEST TO SOUTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH UNTIL 2300. THEN WEST AT 5 TO 9 MPH AFTER 2300. LAL.................2 UNTIL 2100...THEN 1. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.LESS THAN 5 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 1500-2000 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH UNTIL MIDNIGHT. WEST AROUND 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD...DECREASING TO FAIR BY 2100...THEN BECOMING POOR AFTER MIDNIGHT. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. INCREASE IN CLOUDS AFTER 1300. WIDELY SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1400. MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-68. MIN HUMIDITY........27-32 PERCENT. 20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST AT 4 TO 9 MPH UNTIL 1100. THEN SOUTHWEST AT 12 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 20 AND 25 MPH AFTER 1100. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS TO 40 MPH EXPECTED NEAR ANY SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH UNTIL 1100. THEN SOUTHWEST AT 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 25 MPH AFTER 1100. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 2. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.5 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 5000-6000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL 1100. THEN SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH AFTER 1100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING FAIR BY 1100...INCREASING GOOD BY 1400. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST TO SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN WEST TO SOUTHWEST GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS...SNOW SHOWERS WEDNESDAY NIGHT. ISOLATED AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS 60 TO 65. WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS...SNOW SHOWERS THURSDAY NIGHT. ISOLATED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS AROUND 60. SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...ROSS REQUESTED BY...JUSTIN KABER REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120422.POLEC.01/RIW