FNUS75 KABQ 231600
FWSABQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR COPPERTON RX...USFS MT.TAYLOR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
1000 AM MDT MON APR 23 2012

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

DISCUSSION...WITH A STRONG RIDGE CENTERED WEST OF NEW MEXICO MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES THIS MORNING WILL GIVE WAY TO SOME CUMULUS BUILD UPS BY
MID DAY.  AT INCREASE IN ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE WILL SUPPORT ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON...FIRST DEVELOPING OVER THE HIGHEST
TERRAIN THEN DRIFTING TO THE EAST. THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
GENERALLY OF THE DRY VARIETY...PRODUCING LITTLE PRECIPITATION BUT
CAPABLE OF STRONG AND GUSTY OUTFLOWS OR DOWNBURSTS. OVERNIGHT RH
RECOVERIES TO BE FAIR. DRIER CONDITIONS WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW TO
DEVELOP ON TUESDAY WITH POSSIBLY SOME AFTERNOON CUMULUS BUT DRY
THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED.

NOTE...WITH A TEMPERATURE OF 61 DEGREES AND A WET BULB AT 49 AT AN
ELEVATION OF 8500 FEET...DEW POINT WOULD BE 41 AND RH 47-48 PERCENT.
THIS SEEMS JUST A BIT MOIST WHEN COMPARED TO NEARBY SITES.

FOR PLANNED IGNITION TIME OF 1030 MDT 4/23/12
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......MOSTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING...THEN PARTLY
                       CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF DRY
                       THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 71-75.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 13-18 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 14 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                       WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                       AFTERNOON.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......18000 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH 14 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......EXCELLENT/252000 KNOT-FT.
   VENTILATION TREND...GOOD/86533 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING
                       BECOMING EXCELLENT/155111 KNOT-FT BY
                       MID-AFTERNOON.

FOR TONIGHT
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF DRY
                       THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN A SLIGHT
                       CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......20 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MIN 44-48.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MAX 40-45 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND
                       ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
                       THE EVENING.

FOR TUESDAY
   CLOUDS/WEATHER......PARTLY CLOUDY.
   CHC OF PRECIP.......0 PERCENT.
   TEMPERATURE.........MAX 70-74.
   RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MIN 10-15 PERCENT.
   20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH INCREASING TO
                       WEST 14 TO 19 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
   MIXING HEIGHT.......14500 FT AGL.
   TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST 19 KNOTS.
   MAX VENT RATE.......EXCELLENT/275500 KNOT-FT.
   VENTILATION TREND...VERY GOOD/127038 KNOT-FT AROUND MID-MORNING
                       BECOMING EXCELLENT/246953 KNOT-FT BY
                       MID-AFTERNOON.

FORECASTS FOR WINDS ARE 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS AND MUST BE ADJUSTED
ACCORDING TO FUEL TYPE AND SHELTERING TO GET EYE LEVEL WIND SPEED.

FORECASTER...05

$$

REQUESTED BY...LUKE HOLDEN
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120423.COPPE.01/ABQ