FNUS73 KDMX 231224 FWSDMX SPOT FORECAST FOR BAILEY CREEK...IA DNR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA 724 AM CDT MON APR 23 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON APRIL 23. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED... PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN. .DISCUSSION... AREAS OF FOG AND LOW CLOUDS EARLY THIS MORNING WILL BURN OFF BY 9 AM. THEREAFTER...NORTHWEST BREEZES WILL INCREASE TO 10 TO 15 MPH LATER IN THE DAY WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY FALLING TO 30 TO 40 PERCENT BY THE AFTERNOON. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........52 AT IGNITION...MAX 62. RH..................54 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 39 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6900 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 10 TO 16 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (2300-16900 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (72100-95000 KNOT-FT). WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........32 37 40 41 43 46 48 50 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TSTM COV........ TEMP............52 55 57 59 61 61 62 61 RH..............54 51 47 44 41 41 39 41 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 10 10 12 12 12 10 20 FT WIND GUST. 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 EYE LVL WND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW EYE LVL WND SPD.7 7 7 7 9 9 9 7 EYE LVL WND GST. 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.8 5.2 6.6 6.7 6.8 6.9 6.6 6.4 MIXNG WIND DIR..N N N N N N NW NW MIXNG WIND SPD..14 15 16 16 16 15 14 13 HAINES INDEX....4 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 43. RH..................MAX 79 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH BECOMING LIGHT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......6100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO EXCELLENT (12100-60600 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR TO POOR (1000-2000 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH BECOMING LIGHT. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........51 55 59 63 52 38 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV........ TEMP............60 54 50 48 46 44 RH..............42 52 58 63 68 76 20 FT WIND......NW 9 SW 6 SW 5 SW 5 SW 5 S 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 EYE LEVEL WIND..NW 6 SW 4 SW 4 SW 4 SW 4 S 4 EYE LVL WND GST.10 MIX HGT (FT)....6100 2200 300 300 300 300 MIXNG WIND......NW 12 SW 7 S 5 S 7 S 8 S 9 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 74. RH..................MIN 39 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4600 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO 5500 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 2000 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1300-55200 KNOT-FT). WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........27 33 39 40 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV........ TEMP............44 56 68 73 RH..............76 57 43 40 20 FT WIND......S 3G5 S 3G5 SE 7 S 5 EYE LEVEL WIND..S 2G5 S 2G5 SE 5 S 4G5 MIX HGT (FT)....300 300 2900 5500 MIXNG WIND......S 9 W 6 N 7 NW 12 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 4 $$ FORECASTER...LEE REQUESTED BY...TODD WALROD TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120423.BAILE.01/DMX