FNUS73 KDMX 240207 FWSDMX SPOT FORECAST FOR DETERMAN EAST UNIT 2...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA 907 PM CDT MON APR 23 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 24. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED... PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXIT THE REGION TONIGHT. A WARM FRONT WILL APPROACH BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON WITH INCREASING EAST SOUTHEAST WINDS BY LATE AFTERNOON. NO RAINFALL IS EXPECTED. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77. MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3400 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 6 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 6 TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 7 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (1800-27400 KNOT-FT). WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........24 22 19 18 19 22 25 28 31 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TSTM COV........ TEMP............61 65 68 71 73 75 76 75 75 RH..............48 43 39 36 35 34 34 37 38 20 FT WIND DIR..S S SE E E E E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 7 7 7 7 8 9 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 10 EYE LVL WND DIR.S S SE E E E E E E EYE LVL WND SPD.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 EYE LVL WND GST. 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 1.6 2.0 2.3 2.7 3.1 3.4 3.1 2.8 MIXNG WIND DIR..SW S E E NE N N N N MIXNG WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 7 8 9 8 7 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 5 5 5 6 6 6 .TUESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58. MAX HUMIDITY........72 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 6 TO 10 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO POOR (1500-12700 KNOT-FT). WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........32 39 47 54 56 59 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV........ TEMP............74 69 66 64 62 60 RH..............41 49 56 60 65 72 20 FT WIND......E 9 SE 10 SE 9 SE 9 S 8 S 7 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 10 10 10 EYE LEVEL WIND..E 6 SE 7 SE 6 SE 6 S 6 S 5 EYE LVL WND GST.10 15 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2500 1000 300 300 300 300 MIXNG WIND......NE 6 E 6 SE 8 SE 10 S 9 S 8 HAINES INDEX....6 5 4 4 4 4 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80. MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5400 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO 7300 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 4900 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 2600 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 9 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (2000-16800 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD TO EXCELLENT (50600-160300 KNOT-FT). WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........61 64 66 56 WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV........S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC TEMP............60 69 76 79 RH..............72 57 46 39 20 FT WIND......S 7 SW 8G10 W 9G10 NW 13G15 EYE LEVEL WIND..S 5 SW 6G10 W 6G10 NW 9G15 MIX HGT (FT)....300 300 1500 7300 MIXNG WIND......S 9 SW 18 NW 17 NW 25 HAINES INDEX....4 4 5 6 $$ FORECASTER...VACHALEK REQUESTED BY...CHAD LORETH TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120423.DETER.01/DMX