FNUS76 KOTX 221615
FWSOTX

SPOT FORECAST FOR KILLARNEY RX...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPOKANE WA
915 AM PDT SUN APR 22 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 PDT ON APRIL 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

WARM AIR BUILDS INTO THE REGION IN AN INCREASING SOUTHERLY FLOW ON
THE BACKSIDE OF A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE AND IN ADVANCE OF A LOW
PRESSURE TROUGH OFF THE COAST. WITH INCREASING MOISTURE THIS WILL
GENERATE INCREASED INSTABILITY. DAYTIME HEATING AND UPSLOPING INTO
THE HIGHER TERRAIN...AS WELL AS WEAK UPPER LEVEL WAVES STARTING
TO INCREASE FROM THE SOUTH WILL ENCOUNTER THIS INSTABILITY AND
BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE BURN SITE. MUCH
OF THE PERIOD THE OVERALL THREAT IS IN THE SLIGHT CATEGORY...UNTIL
LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY NIGHT (CONTINUING INTO TUESDAY)
WHEN MORE SUBSTANTIAL WAVES COME IN FROM THE SOUTH. ANY STORMS THAT
MAY DEVELOP ARE EXPECTED TO ISOLATED TO SCATTERED IN NATURE AND MAY
BYPASS THE BURN SITE ALTOGETHER. HOWEVER WINDS CAN BE GUSTY AND
ERRATIC AROUND AND NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. ALSO IF A STORM SHOULD COME
OVER THE BURN SITE THE CHANCES OF WETTING RAIN WILL BE HIGHER.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH IN THE MORNING SHIFTING
                    TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 3 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS BY LATE AFTERNOON...
                    THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    BY EVENING.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 2 TO 5 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE
                    IN THE DAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT.

$$
FORECASTER...JC
REQUESTED BY...LONNIE NEWTON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120423.KILLA.01/OTX