FNUS75 KPUB 231846
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR BUCKHANAN FIRE...TELLER COUNTY SHERIFFS OFFICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1246 PM MDT MON APR 23 2012

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE IS OVER THE FIRE SITE BUT THERE IS MID AND
UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE UNDER THE RIDGE THAT WILL ALLOW FOR ISOLATED
AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS BOTH TODAY AND TUESDAY.  PRIMARY
THREATS WITH THESE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHTNING AND ERRATIC
WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH.  THERE COULD ALSO BE SOME PEA SIZE
HAIL...SNOW OR RAIN.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60 PERCENT) WITH ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS.  ERRATIC WIND GUSTS TO AROUND
                    40 MPH POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63F.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-23 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........VARIABLE WINDS 5-10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST
                    5-10 MPH AFTER 1500.
MIXING HEIGHT.......12500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTH AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 1400...THEN SOUTHEAST.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. FAIR AFTER 1000.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1500...THEN 3.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (25 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE UNTIL 2400.  GUSTY
                    WINDS POSSIBLE NEAR STORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35F.
MAX HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5-10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 500 FT AGL AFTER 2100.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 2000. POOR AFTER 2100.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200
                    THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (60 PERCENT).
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200 WITH SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1500.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65F.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........VARIABLE 5-10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN WEST AROUND
                    10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 13500 FT AGL AFTER
                    1100.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 11 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. VERY GOOD AFTER 1200.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3 UNTIL 1500...THEN 2.

$$
FORECASTER...WALROD
REQUESTED BY...STAN BISHOP
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120423.BUCKH.01/PUB