FNUS73 KDMX 241321 FWSDMX SPOT FORECAST FOR BAILEY CK...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA 821 AM CDT TUE APR 24 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 CDT ON APRIL 24. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED... PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN. .DISCUSSION... A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE DAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72. MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4100 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 9 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (1500-25100 KNOT-FT). WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. TIME (CDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........23 24 25 26 27 28 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TSTM COV........ TEMP............68 70 71 71 71 70 RH..............40 39 38 39 39 40 20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 10 10 10 10 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 15 EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE EYE LVL WND SPD.7 7 7 7 7 7 EYE LVL WND GST.15 15 15 15 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.1 3.4 3.8 4.1 3.8 3.5 MIXNG WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE MIXNG WIND SPD..9 8 6 5 5 5 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54. MAX HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 9 MPH. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1200 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 5 TO 13 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO POOR (1800-12900 KNOT-FT). WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........24 34 47 57 61 65 WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV........ ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD TEMP............69 65 62 60 57 56 RH..............40 50 58 60 69 72 20 FT WIND......SE 9 SE 9 SE 9 SE 9 SE 8 SE 8 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 EYE LVL WND GST.10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....3200 1200 300 300 300 300 MIXNG WIND......SE 5 SE 7 SE 9 S 10 S 9 S 10 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 5 6 6 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77. MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........69 67 65 54 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE TEMP............56 66 73 76 RH..............74 61 53 45 EYE LEVEL WIND..S 6G10 S 6G10 SW 6G10 W 7G15 $$ FORECASTER...BEERENDS REQUESTED BY...DAN PAULSON TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120424.BAILE.01/DMX