FNUS75 KGJT 242049
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR POTHOLES RX
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
249 PM MDT TUE APR 24 2012

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

SPOT FORECAST FOR POTHOLES RX...ASHLEY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1144 AM MDT TUE APR 24 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 MDT ON APRIL 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT EAST OF THE REGION WEDNESDAY
AS THE NEXT WESTERN STORM SYSTEM SLIDES INTO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA.
MOISTURE WILL BE ADVANCING AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM ALLOWING CLOUDS TO
THICKEN AND LOWER THROUGH THE DAY. AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AT
THE SURFACE SHOULD ALSO BE SLIGHTLY HIGHER WITH ARRIVAL OF THE
MOISTURE AND TEMPERATURES SHOULD COOL BY AROUND 5 TO 7 DEGREES DUE
TO THE CLOUD COVER. RIDGETOP WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO TURN SOUTHWEST
AS THE ATMOSPHERE MIXES BY MID MORNING AND WITH TIGHTENING GRADIENT
ALOFT...SHOULD BE IN THE 15 TO 20 MPH RANGE...WITH A FEW GUST NEAR
25 MPH POSSIBLE. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED
TO FORM IN THE AFTERNOON BUT MAY BE ROOTED TO THE HIGHER TERRAIN
ABOVE THE PROPOSED BURN SITE. HOWEVER THESE SHOWERS MAY PRODUCE
GUSTY AND ERRATIC OUTFLOWS WHICH COULD REACH THE BURN SITE.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 65 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST AT AROUND 10 MPH BY MID MORNING
                    THEN INCREASING TO 13 TO 18 MPH BY 1200.
                    A FEW GUSTS OVER 20 MPH POSSIBLE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR THROUGH MID MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT BY MID AFTERNOON.
CLEARING INDEX......50 THROUGH MID MORNING...INCREASING TO 1050
                    BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

$$

REQUESTED BY...CHRIS DEETS
REASON FOR REQUEST...UNDER THE INTERAGENCY AGREEMENT FOR METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES (USFS, BLM, NPS, U