FNUS72 KMLB 242040
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR HAPPY CREEK...US FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
440 PM EDT TUE APR 24 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1625 EDT ON APRIL 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...GOOD AFTERNOON. A SEA BREEZE HAS DEVELOPED ALONG THE
BREVARD COAST AND NORTHEAST WINDS HAVE OVERSPREAD THE AIR FORCE
STATION AS OF 4 PM. THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE THAT THE BURN SITE WILL
SEE A WIND SHIFT OUT OF THE NORTHEAST VERY SOON AS THE SEA BREEZE
PUSHES THROUGH. BECAUSE THE AIRMASS IS SO DRY EVEN OVER THE
ATLANTIC...THERE WILL BE LITTLE INCREASE IN THE RH WITH THE
ONSHORE FLOW. RH VALUES WILL INCREASE WITH SUNSET AS TEMPERATURES
FALL QUICKLY THROUGH THE 60S EARLY THIS EVENING. WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO BECOME LIGHT WESTERLY AFTER SUNSET WHEN THE SEA BREEZE
CIRCULATION DISSIPATES.

SUCH DRY CONDITIONS DO NOT BODE WELL FOR MUCH FOG BUT WITH LIGHT
WINDS AND NEAR FULL RECOVERY OF RH LATE TONIGHT...LOCALIZED PATCHY
FOG MAY MIX WITH THE SMOKE IN VICINITY OF THE BURN SITE EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING.

-KELLY


.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........22 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 14 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 14 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....46.

TIME (EDT)      4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM
SKY (%).........CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............71  69  68  63  61  59  57  56  55  55  55  54
RH..............25  30  35  48  54  60  67  72  76  81  83  86
20 FT WIND DIR..NW  NE  NE   N   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD..10  10   8   5   5   5   5   5   5   3   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.18  15

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-3000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 800 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....5.
LVORI...............6.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....44.

$$
FORECASTER...KELLY
REQUESTED BY...CYNTHIA BRANHAM
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120424.HAPPY.01/MLB