FNUS73 KMPX 241248 FWSMPX SPOT FORECAST FOR BARES BLACKLINING...FWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 748 AM CDT TUE APR 24 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON APRIL 24. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... THE BARES BURN WILL LIE BETWEEN A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE NEAR THE MINNESOTA-WISCONSIN BORDER AND AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE DAKOTAS. THIS WILL BRING MAINLY SOUTHEAST WINDS TO THE AREA TODAY. EXPECT OCCASIONAL HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS AND WARM TEMPERATURES. THE DAKOTAS LOW WILL TRACK ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT BRINGING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS. SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL LINGER INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. A COLD FRONT WILL DROP ACROSS THE BARES BURN AREA WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON BRINGING A WIND SHIFT WITH WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. TEMPERATURE.........59 AT IGNITION...MAX 68. RH..................49 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 34 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHEAST 7 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4700) INCREASING TO GOOD (45000). MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5700-6500 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 9 TO 13 MPH. TIME (CDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM 7 PM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR TEMP............51 59 64 67 68 66 RH..............63 49 40 36 36 40 20 FT WIND......E 5 SE 6 SE 9 SE 9 SE 8 SE 5 20 FT WIND GUST. 7 9 12 11 11 8 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE NIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF RAIN 60 PERCENT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 51. RH..................MAX 86 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (2600-18800). MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-5300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-1900 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 16 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 70. RH..................MIN 47 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW TO OR MODERATE. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (3000-38500) INCREASING TO FAIR TO EXCELLENT (29900-76500) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600-4200 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. $$ FORECASTER...PAULSON REQUESTED BY...ROBERT BENGSON TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120424.BARES.01/MPX