FNUS72 KTAE 241457 FWSTAE SPOT FORECAST FOR UNIT 10...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 1057 AM EDT TUE APR 24 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 EDT ON APRIL 24. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT (850)942-8835. ...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING... .DISCUSSION... DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST FOR ANOTHER DAY...WITH AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY EXPECTED TO DIP BELOW 25 PERCENT ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA EXCEPT NEAR THE IMMEDIATE GULF COAST. THE LOW HUMIDITY WILL COMBINE WITH WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH THIS AFTERNOON TO CREATE AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER. CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO MEET RED FLAG CRITERIA IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA WITH 4 TO 5 HOURS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY AROUND 24 TO 25 PERCENT. RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE ALSO FORECAST IN THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND WITH LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY ALONG WITH SEVERAL OTHER PARAMETERS APPROACHING OR EXCEEDING RED FLAG CRITERIA. THE FACT THAT THIS WILL BE AT THE TAIL END OF A FEW CONSECUTIVE DRY WINDY DAYS...AND FUELS HAVE HAD SEVERAL DAYS TO LOSE MOISTURE...SHOULD CONTRIBUTE TO THE FIRE DANGER. A RED FLAG WARNING WAS NOT ISSUED FOR GEORGIA AS FORECAST 10-HOUR FUEL MOISTURE IS JUST ABOVE RED FLAG CRITERIA AT 7 TO 8 PERCENT. DESPITE THIS...THE USFS WFAS FIRE DANGER CLASS IS FORECAST TO BE IN THE HIGH TO VERY HIGH RANGE...SO CONDITIONS MAY STILL ALLOW FOR SOMEWHAT RAPID FIRE GROWTH. MOISTURE BEGINS TO INCREASE STARTING WEDNESDAY...WITH FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS DIMINISHING BY LATE IN THE WEEK. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70. MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO 12 TO 17 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4300 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST A 10 TO 14 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. DISPERSION..........62. TIME (EDT) 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........0 0 0 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE TEMP............65 69 69 RH..............36 33 35 20 FT WIND......W 6 W 8 W 10 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58. MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 15 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1700 FT AGL OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 TO 15 MPH. DISPERSION..........12. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........0 0 0 0 0 0 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............69 66 61 59 58 59 RH..............36 41 54 64 72 76 20 FT WIND......W 10 W 7 W 7 W 6 W 5 W 5 20 FT WIND GUST.20 15 15 15 15 15 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76. MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 14 MPH. DISPERSION..........47. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........0 13 13 14 15 15 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............59 59 66 70 75 76 RH..............79 83 68 63 54 55 20 FT WIND......W 5 W 5 W 6 SW 7 SW 8 SW 10 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 15 15 20 $$ FORECASTER...KEN GOULD REQUESTED BY...JOEY LORD TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120424.UNIT1.01/TAE