FNUS75 KTFX 241723
FWSTFX

SPOT FORECAST FOR ALICE CREEK...FS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
1123 AM MDT TUE APR 24 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 MDT ON APRIL 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS...WARM TEMPERATURES AND AFTERNOON SHOWERS WILL
DOMINATE THE SPOT LOCATION FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. CLOUD COVER WILL
CONTINUE TO INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY AS MOISTURE ALOFT MOVES INTO
THE AREA. AFTERNOON HEATING WILL CREATE UPSLOPE AND UP VALLEY WINDS
AND ALLOW FOR AFTERNOON SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE VICINITY OF THESE SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. OVERNIGHT DOWN SLOPE WINDS AND A NOCTURNAL
INVERSION ARE EXPECTED...WITH THE INVERSION BREAK FORECASTED BY
MID MORNING WEDNESDAY. CONDITIONS SHOULD BE SIMILAR WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY WITH TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS DOMINATING GENERAL WINDS AND
ANOTHER CHANCE OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CREATING
GUSTY AND ERRATIC VICINITY WINDS. BY THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY A
STRONG PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA DRAMATICALLY
DROPPING TEMPERATURES AND DRAMATICALLY INCREASING PRECIPITATION
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................35 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE AND UP VALLEY WINDS EXPECTED TO
                    DEVELOP DURING DAY CREATING WIND SPEEDS IN
                    EXCESS OF 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WIND......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 20 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE
                    NIGHT.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
MAX HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WIND......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 25 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN
                    THE MORNING. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71.
MIN HUMIDITY........23-28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE AND UP VALLEY WINDS EXPECTED TO
                    DEVELOP DURING DAY CREATING WIND SPEEDS IN
                    EXCESS OF 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 20 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
CWR.................20 PERCENT IN THE DAY...80 PERCENT AFTER
                    SUNSET.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-63
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE AND UP VALLEY WINDS EXPECTED TO
                    DEVELOP DURING DAY CREATING WIND SPEEDS IN
                    EXCESS OF 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY
                    WINDS POSSIBLE LATE THURSDAY EVENING AS
                    THE COLD FRONT APPROACHES.
RIDGE TOP WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH DURING THE DAY
                    GUSTY AND STRONG WINDS AROUND 25 MPH IN
                    THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9000 FT AGL
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 25 MPH.
$$
FORECASTER...SUK
REQUESTED BY...M  KAISER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120424.ALICE.01/TFX