FNUS73 KAPX 260303 FWSAPX SPOT FORECAST FOR LITTLE MACK LAKE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI 1103 PM EDT WED APR 25 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1853 EDT ON APRIL 25. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...LIGHT SOUTHERLY WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH ABOUT 5 AM...WITH A GRADUAL RECOVERY IN HUMIDITY AS SOME LIGHT SHOWERS MOVE THROUGH THE REGION AND MOISTURE SLOWLY INCREASES AHEAD OF AN INCOMING COLD FRONT. UNFORTUNATELY...NO SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS EXPECTED...WITH A BEST CASE SCENARIO OF UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH THROUGH MID MORNING THURSDAY. WINDS WILL QUICKLY SHIFT NORTHWEST TOWARD SUNRISE AND BECOME RATHER GUSTY THROUGH THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON...WITH GUSTS OF 25 TO 30 MPH LIKELY AS HUMIDITY LEVELS AGAIN LOWER TOWARD 30 PERCENT. .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY WITH OCCASIONAL LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 37. RH..................MAX 88 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH...SHIFTING NORTHWEST BETWEEN 5 AND 6 AM. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 2 TO 8 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600-900 FT AGL. HAINES INDEX........MIN 2. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN POOR(0). TIME (EDT) 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).........95 96 97 97 97 97 97 WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............53 47 43 42 40 39 38 RH..............38 42 55 60 71 82 85 20 FT WIND DIR..S S SE SE S W NW 20 FT WIND SPD..4 5 4 4 5 3 4 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 HAINES INDEX....3 3 2 2 2 2 2 SMOKE DISP......100 100 100 100 0 0 0 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS THROUGH MID MORNING...THEN GRADUALLY BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 49. RH..................MIN 30 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHWEST 26 TO 30 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3400-3700 FT AGL THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........MAX 4. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MAX EXCELLENT(1100). TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........97 98 84 77 70 49 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE TEMP............38 37 41 44 47 49 RH..............85 92 73 60 49 39 20 FT WIND......NW 4 NW 7 NW 11 NW 14 NW 15 NW 15 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 25 30 30 30 HAINES INDEX....2 2 3 3 4 4 SMOKE DISP......0 300 700 1000 1100 1000 $$ FORECASTER...DAVID LAWRENCE REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120425.LITTL.01/APX