FNUS73 KDDC 251015 FWSDDC SPOT FORECAST FOR SOUTH DEAD HORSE SLOUGH...U.S. FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 515 AM CDT WED APR 25 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 25. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... TODAY WILL BE VERY WARM WITH WINDS WEST TO NORTHWEST AT 9 TO 13 MPH. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL RISE INTO THE 95 TO 100 DEGREE RANGE, FORCING RELATIVE HUMIDITIES DOWN TO THE 10 TO 15 PERCENT RANGE IN THE AFTERNOON. SURFACE WINDS WILL NOT ELEVATE THE FIRE DANGER TO THE RED FLAG WARNING CRITERIA. NONETHELESS, ALL OUTDOOR BURNING SHOULD BE CLOSELY MONITORED, AND IS NOT RECOMMENDED AT ALL IN THE AFTERNOON. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 98. MIN HUMIDITY........16 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND 8 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6200 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 11800 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 17400-19100 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 15200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 11300 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 7 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 13 TO 17 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM SKY (%).........23 23 8 14 25 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............75 86 93 96 96 RH..............41 26 19 16 18 20 FT WIND......NW 6 NW 8 NW 10 NW 9 S 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 20 20 15 EYE LEVEL WIND..NW 6 NW 8 NW 10 NW 9 S 6 WIND GUST..10 15 20 20 15 HAINES INDEX....6 6 6 6 6 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60. MAX HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH. CWR.................10 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 TO 6 OR OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......7400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 12 TO 14 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........29 28 29 35 52 64 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............93 80 73 69 65 63 RH..............20 41 51 57 63 67 20 FT WIND......S 6 S 6 SE 6 S 6 SE 5 E 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 EYE LEVEL WIND..S 6 S 6 SE 6 S 6 SE 5 E 5 WIND GUST..10 10 10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....6 6 5 5 5 5 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79. MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 6 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500-6800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 13 TO 21 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 17 TO 23 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AROUND 28 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........79 73 73 78 62 62 WEATHER COV..... S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR TEMP............61 66 71 75 78 78 RH..............78 73 63 55 50 50 20 FT WIND......E 6 E 9 E 10 E 10 SE 9 SE 9 20 FT WIND GUST.10 20 20 20 20 20 EYE LEVEL WIND..E 6 E 9 E 10 E 10 SE 9 SE 9 WIND GUST..10 20 20 20 20 20 HAINES INDEX....6 5 5 5 5 4 $$ FORECASTER...RUSSELL REQUESTED BY...BILL WALN TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120425.SOUTH.01/DDC