FNUS72 KJAX 250827
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR ANASTASIA STATE PARK...FLORIDA PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
427 AM EDT WED APR 25 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...HIGH DISPERSION AND HIGH
ERC VALUES FOR ALL OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
EARLY THURSDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...HIGH
DISPERSION AND HIGH ERC VALUES FOR ALL OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA...

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN SOUTH OF THE REGION THROUGH THURSDAY.
THIS WILL CONTINUE TO PROMOTE RED FLAG CONDITIONS WITH GUSTY
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS FALLING
BELOW CRITICAL VALUES EACH AFTERNOON. HIGH DISPERSION AND ERC VALUES
WILL CONTRIBUTE TO RED FLAG WARNINGS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-4000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4600-5200 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 8 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 18
                    MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....72.

TIME (EDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........12     17     21     22
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............70     77     78     78
RH..............47     38     38     40
20 FT WIND......W 9    SW 9   SW 10  S 12
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     20
MIX HGT (FT)....4000   5200   5200   5000
TRANSPORT WIND..W 9    W 9    SW 13  SW 16
DISPERSION INDX.39     38     53     68

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MAX HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 13 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-4400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1300-2400 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 16 TO 21 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....15.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........20     20     17     14     14     14
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............76     72     68     65     64     62
RH..............45     55     64     70     74     79
20 FT WIND......S 13   SW 12  SW 12  SW 12  SW 10  SW 10
20 FT WIND GUST.20     15     20     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....4400   3300   2400   2000   1700   1300
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 18  SW 18  SW 20  SW 21  W 20   SW 17
DISPERSION INDX.72     19     21     18     17     14

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 13 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-2900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3600-4300 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 16 TO 18 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....64.

$$
FORECASTER...HESS
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS CLAUSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120425.ANAST.01/JAX