FNUS74 KMAF 251632
FWSMAF

SPOT FORECAST FOR LIVERMAORE RANCH FIRE...TFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1132 AM CDT WED APR 25 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0951 MDT ON APRIL 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS AND LIGHTNING DANGER.

...NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ALONG RIDGETOPS TODAY...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL PERSIST TODAY AS DRY... WEST
WINDS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE BURN AREA. THE VERY WARM AND DRY
CONDITIONS WILL DROP MINIMUM RH/S INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS THIS
AFTERNOON. WINDS ALONG THE RIDGETOPS COULD APPROACH 20 MPH...
BRINGING NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON.
WESTERLY...DOWNSLOPE WINDS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED OVERNIGHT ALONG
THE RIDGES...BUT SHOULD BECOME TERRAIN DOMINATED IN THE VALLEYS.
POOR OVERNIGHT RH RECOVERY IS EXPECTED TONIGHT...WITH RH/S ALONG
THE RIDGES LIKELY REMAINING BELOW 20%. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON THURSDAY.

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING
                    HIGH CLOUDS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........8 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 9 TO 14 MPH VALLEYS...WEST 14 TO 19 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH RIDGES.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 (MODERATE).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (148900 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (MDT)      9 AM         1 PM         5 PM
SKY (%).........CLEAR        CLEAR        CLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE         NONE         NONE
CHC PCPN (%)....0            0            0
TEMP............69           86           91
RH..............25           12           9
20 FT WIND DIR..SW           W            W
20 FT WIND SPD..9            13           15
20 FT WIND GUST.12           20           25
MIX HGT (FT)....2000         12500        14000
TRANS WIND DIR..W            W            W
TRANS WIND SPD..7            20           25
VENT CAT........POOR         VYGOOD       EXCLNT
HAINES INDEX....4            5            5

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58 VALLEYS...NEAR 65 RIDGES.
MAX HUMIDITY........27 PCT VALLEYS...18 PCT RIDGES.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING TERRAIN DOMINATED UNDER 5 MPH VALLEYS.
                    WEST WINDS 12 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH
                    RIDGES.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........6 (HIGH).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....DECREASING TO POOR.

TIME (MDT)      6 PM         10 PM        2 AM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE         NONE         NONE
CHC PCPN (%)....0            0            0
TEMP............89           74           65
RH..............9            13           18
20 FT WIND DIR..W            W            NW
20 FT WIND SPD..15           7            3
20 FT WIND GUST.25
MIX HGT (FT)....12500        500          BLW100
TRANS WIND DIR..W            W            N
TRANS WIND SPD..12           4            2
VENT CAT........EXCLNT       POOR         POOR
HAINES INDEX....6            6            6

$$

FORECASTER...PLATT
REQUESTED BY...DEWEY WATSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120425.LIVER.01/MAF