FNUS73 KMPX 251242
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR HORSE LAKE...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
742 AM CDT WED APR 25 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON APRIL 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE JUST WEST OF THE BURN SITE THIS MORNING...
WITH CURRENT E WINDS LIKELY TO BE VARIABLE AROUND 10 AM...BEFORE BECOMING
ESTABLISHED OUT OF THE NORTHWEST BY AROUND NOON. NW WINDS THIS AFTERNOON
WILL BE SUSTAINED AT 12 TO 16 MPH...WITH SOME GUSTS AROUND 25 MPH. DESPITE
NORTH WINDS...WILL BE A WARM DAY WITH HIGHS PUSHING BACK UP INTO THE
LOWER 70S...HELPING PUSH AFTERNOON HUMIDITIES DOWN TO AROUND 40 PERCENT.
STRONG COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH TONIGHT...WITH MUCH COLDER AIR WORKING IN WITH IT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........63 AT IGNITION...MAX 73.
RH..................56 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHEAST AT 5 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN
                    BECOMING NORTHWEST 11 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (6700-43400) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (66900-94500) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5400-5700 FT
                    AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 18 TO 25 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 6 TO
                    14 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING
                    TO 18 TO 23 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............58     63     68     72     73     70
RH..............67     56     47     41     40     44
20 FT WIND......E 4    NE 5   N 9    NW 14  NW 14  N 14
20 FT WIND GUST.5             15     20     25     25
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      5      5      5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 41.
RH..................MAX 76 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (71400-93700) DECREASING TO POOR TO
                    GOOD (5900-42500) EARLY IN THE EVENING.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 56.
RH..................MIN 29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW TO OR MODERATE.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (35600-61000).

$$
FORECASTER...GRIESINGER
REQUESTED BY...SETH GRIMM
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120425.HORSE.01/MPX