FNUS73 KMPX 251259
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR PRAIRIE FLATS...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
759 AM CDT WED APR 25 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 CDT ON APRIL 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE WILL WORK BY TO THE WEST OF THE BURN SITE THROUGH THE MORNING
WITH SHOWER POTENTIAL FAIRLY SMALL THROUGH THE REST OF THE DAY. SE WINDS
THIS MORNING WILL PROGRESSIVELY BECOME MORE EASTERLY BY NOON...WITH LIGHT
NE WINDS EXPECTED BY THE AFTERNOON. STRONGEST SPEEDS ARE EXPECTED DURING
THE MORNING...WITH SPEEDS SETTLING BACK UNDER 10 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHS
UP AROUND 70 WILL PUSH AFTERNOON HUMIDITIES DOWN TO AROUND 40. STRONG COLD
FRONT ARRIVING TONIGHT WILL BRING A SIGNIFICANT COOL DOWN WITH IT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN MORNING
                    AND EARLY AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN 20 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........60 AT IGNITION...MAX 66.
RH..................55 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE EAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH
                    UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT...THEN
                    BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (13200-53400).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-3200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 25 TO 32 MPH DECREASING TO 12 TO 21
                    MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFTING TO
                    THE SOUTH AROUND 8 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
                    SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM   9 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............57     60     64     66     63     56
RH..............53     55     50     48     54     64
20 FT WIND......SE 10  SE 9   E 5    NE 4   N 6    N 6
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15            5      10     10
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      3      3      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 38.
RH..................MAX 96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (3100-18100).

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 56.
RH..................MIN 24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW TO OR MODERATE.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (3300-47600) INCREASING TO GOOD TO
                    EXCELLENT (57200-73500) IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...GRIESINGER
REQUESTED BY...JOEL KEMM
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120425.STCRO.02/MPX