FNUS75 KPUB 251124
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLUE CREEK RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
524 AM MDT WED APR 25 2012

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE ROCKIES WILL LEAD TO WARM DRY CONDITIONS
AT THE BURN SITE FOR TODAY.  WEST WINDS WILL MIX DOWN WITH GUSTS
THIS AFTERNOON AND LOWERING HUMIDITY VALUES INTO UPPER TEENS.  AN
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE TO
THE WEST.  LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE HIGHER ELEVATIONS EVEN WHEN THE
PARENT THUNDERSTORM IS OFF IN THE DISTANCE.

A STORM SYSTEM OVER THE WESTERN STATES WILL MOVE EAST FOR TOMORROW
WITH AN INCREASED RISK OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG WITH
STRONG GUSTY WINDS.

SMOKE DISPERSALS THIS MORNING WILL BE POOR WITH EXCELLENT
DISPERSALS FOR THIS AFTERNOON.  POOR DISPERSALS ARE FORECAST
FOR TONIGHT WITH EXCELLENT CONDITIONS ONCE AGAIN TOMORROW.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY(60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65F.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........NORTHWEST 3 TO 8 MPH UNTIL 0700 BECOMING WEST
                    AT 8 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 22 MPH.  STRONGEST
                    GUSTS MOST LIKELY FROM 1400 TO 1800.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 11000 FT AGL AFTER 1000.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 22 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800. EXCELLENT AFTER 1200.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-37F.
MAX HUMIDITY........65-70 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH UNTIL 2300 BECOMING
                    EAST NORTHEAST AT 2 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL UNTIL 2400. 1500 FT AGL AFTER 0100.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 23 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2000...THEN GOOD UNTIL
                    2400...THEN FAIR UNTIL 0100...THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(70 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 1200...THEN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-59F.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........EAST NORTHEAST AT 2 TO 8 MPH UNTIL 0800 BECOMING
                    WEST SOUTHWEST 12 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 30
                    MPH.  STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED AFTER 1200.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0800...THEN 9000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN
                    AROUND 34 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1100.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

$$
FORECASTER...MOZLEY
REQUESTED BY...SID HALL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120425.BLUEC.01/PUB