FNUS75 KTFX 251932
FWSTFX

SPOT FORECAST FOR ALICE CREEK  3    7...HELENA NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
132 PM MDT WED APR 25 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 MDT ON APRIL 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

SIMILAR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE SPOT AREA TODAY AS TEMPERATURES AGAIN NEAR
70 DEGREES. RH VALUES SHOULD DROP DOWN INTO THE HIGH 20S AND LOW 30S.
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS WILL DOMINATE THE GENERAL FLOW TODAY AS UPSLOPE
WINDS DEVELOP BY MID AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN
DEVELOP IN THE AFTERNOON WITH GUSTY WINDS IN THE VICINITY. SOME SHOWERS
WILL LIKELY MOVE INTO THE AREA EARLY THURSDAY MORNING WITH ADDITIONAL
MOISTURE AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT MOVING INTO THE AREA BY EARLY AFTERNOON
THURSDAY. THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE AREA THURSDAY
EVENING...BRINGING STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND A WIND SHIFT LATE THURSDAY...
AHEAD OF COOL AND WET CONDITIONS FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-72.
MIN HUMIDITY........23-28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........TERRAIN DOMINATED WINDS DEVELOPING THROUGH THE
                    DAY. BY MID AFTERNOON SOME UPSLOPE AND UP VALLEY
                    WINDS COULD EXCEED 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGE TOP WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE
                    NIGHT.
CWR.................35 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
MAX HUMIDITY........81-86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WIND......SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. EARLY MORNING RAIN SHOWERS
                    ENDING AROUND 1000 THEN ADDITIONAL SHOWERS
                    DEVELOPING EARLY AFTERNOON.
CWR.................95 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WIND......SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...J SUK
REQUESTED BY...M  KAISER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120425.ALICE.01/TFX