FNUS75 KTFX 251325
FWSTFX

SPOT FORECAST FOR JIMTOWN NATURAL UNIT  3...USFS - LEWIS AND CLARK NF MUSSELSHELL RD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
725 AM MDT WED APR 25 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0720 MDT ON APRIL 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

SIMILAR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE SPOT AREA TODAY AS TEMPERATURES AGAIN NEAR
80 DEGREES. RH VALUES SHOULD DROP DOWN INTO THE LOW 20S AND HIGH TEENS.
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS WILL AGAIN DOMINATE THE GENERAL FLOW TODAY AS UPSLOPE
WINDS DEVELOP AGAIN BY MID AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN
DEVELOP IN THE AFTERNOON WITH GUSTY WINDS LIKELY IN THE VICINITY. OVERNIGHT
DOWN SLOPE WINDS WITH A NOCTURNAL INVERSION ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR AGAIN
TONIGHT. THURSDAY WILL BEGIN WITH SIMILAR WEATHER CONDITIONS...HOWEVER A
COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE AREA LATE THURSDAY BRINGING STRONG
GUSTY WINDS AND A WIND SHIFT LATE THURSDAY...AHEAD OF COOL AND WET
CONDITIONS FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    THIS MORNING...THEN A HIGHER CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
CWR.................15 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-80.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-22 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........TERRAIN DOMINATED WINDS DEVELOPING THROUGH THE
                    DAY. BY MID AFTERNOON SOME UPSLOPE AND UP VALLEY
                    WINDS COULD EXCEED 10 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 20
                    MPH. BELOW THE DAM SOME COOLER DOWN VALLEY WINDS
                    COULD DEVELOP AND CREATE ERRATIC WIND CONDITIONS.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED NEAR
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGE TOP WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY BEFORE MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
MAX HUMIDITY........78-83 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WIND......
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH
                    THE DAY.
CWR.................45 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........TERRAIN DOMINATED WINDS DEVELOPING THROUGH THE
                    DAY. BY MID AFTERNOON SOME UPSLOPE AND UP VALLEY
                    WINDS COULD EXCEED 10 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 20
                    MPH. BELOW THE DAM SOME COOLER DOWN VALLEY WINDS
                    COULD DEVELOP AND CREATE ERRATIC WIND CONDITIONS.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED NEAR
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. A LATE EVENING WIND
                    SHIFT CAN BE EXPECTED WITH A COLD FRONT PASSAGE
                    BRINGING GUSTY WINDS UP TO 45 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WIND......SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH...SWITCHING TO THE WEST BEHIND
                    THE FRONT LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...SUK
REQUESTED BY...DARWIN REYNOLDS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120425.JIMTO.01/TFX