FNUS73 KMPX 261212
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR NELSON...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
712 AM CDT THU APR 26 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON APRIL 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE BUILDING DOWN FROM THE CANADIAN PRAIRIES INTO THE
WESTERN GREAT LAKES TODAY...WITH A COOLER...THOUGH VERY DRY NORTHEAST TO
EAST WIND TAKING SHAPE. WILL BE A MUCH COOLER DAY TODAY...WITH HIGHS ONLY IN
THE MID 50S...BUT A SIGNIFICANT INTRUSION OF DRY AIR WILL ALLOW AFTERNOON
HUMIDITIES AT THE BURN SITE TO FALL TO AROUND 25 PERCENT. NE WINDS WILL
BE STRONGEST IN THE MORNING...WITH 8 TO 12 MPH WINDS WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH
DURING THE MORNING GIVING WAY TO 5 TO 10 MPH WINDS THIS AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........52 AT IGNITION...MAX 57.
RH..................41 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHEAST AT 11 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE EAST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (41800-64800).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-4300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4400-5400 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 15 TO 23 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR  MCLEAR PCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............45     51     55     57     57     55
RH..............60     44     31     27     27     31
20 FT WIND......NE 10  NE 10  NE 10  E 10   E 11   E 11
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     15     20     20
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      4      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN 20 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 37.
RH..................MAX 82 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (32500-67500) DECREASING TO
                    POOR TO GOOD (5100-36600) IN THE LATE EVENING
                    AND OVERNIGHT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. CHANCE OF
                    RAIN 70 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 47.
RH..................MIN 55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 16 TO 21 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (43200-87400) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (99600) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...GRIESINGER
REQUESTED BY...SETH GRIMM
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120426.NELSO.01/MPX