FNUS73 KDLH 271751 FWSDLH SPOT FORECAST FOR ELF GARAGE B...FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN 1251 PM CDT FRI APR 27 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 CDT ON APRIL 27. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON. I ADJUSTED THE FORECAST HUMIDITY TOWARD THE OBSERVATION...WHICH WAS 8 TO 12 PERCENT HIGHER THAN SURROUNDING OBSERVATIONS. WIND GUSTS WILL DEVELOP AS THE AFTERNOON PROGRESSES...GENERALLY FROM 13 TO 17 MPH. HIGHER RESOLUTION MODELS SUGGEST THE LAKE BREEZE WILL MAKE IT TO OR NEAR THE BURNSITE LATE THIS AFTERNOON...AND THAT WOULD TURN WINDS TO THE NORTHEAST BETWEEN 3 PM AND 6 PM. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....52-56. MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST-SOUTHEAST 8 TO 11 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST BETWEEN 4 PM AND 6 PM. GUSTS TO 17 MPH POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......AROUND 5000 FEET. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 10 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD. TIME (CDT) 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM TEMP............53 54 52 RH..............29 26 25 20 FT WIND DIR..E E NE 20 FT WIND SPD..8 9 8 20 FT WIND GUST.10 14 13 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....27-32. MAX HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY...BECOMING EAST. MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 350 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...THEN INCREASING TO 1000 FT AGL LATE. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (15500) DECREASING TO POOR (2700) IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM TEMP............49 41 36 34 31 29 RH..............26 36 48 54 59 60 20 FT WIND DIR..ENE E E E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 6 5 5 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 8 7 6 6 7 $$ FORECASTER...DEAN M. REQUESTED BY...KAREN VANZO TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120427.ELFGA.01/DLH