FNUS73 KMPX 280326
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR KROSCHEL WMA...MN DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1026 PM CDT FRI APR 27 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON APRIL 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN A LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED
ACROSS EASTERN CANADA...AND A DEVELOPING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE NEAR
NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS...WILL CAUSE STRONG EASTERLY WINDS TO CONTINUE
THROUGH SATURDAY. DRIER AIR ASSOCIATED WITH THE CANADIAN
AIR MASS WILL LIKELY HOLD OFF MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION ACROSS WEST
CENTRAL WISCONSIN AND MOST OF CENTRAL MINNESOTA. ONLY SOUTH CENTRAL
AND WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA WILL SEE THE BULK OF THE PRECIPITATION
LATE TONIGHT...AND INTO SATURDAY AS THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE SLOWLY
MOVES FROM KANSAS...EASTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL ILLINOIS. THE UNSETTLED
WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A SERIES OF
DISTURBANCES PRODUCE CONTINUED CHANCES OF RAINFALL.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE
                    MORNING. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........49 AT IGNITION...MAX 54.
RH..................36 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 12 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    EAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (3000-40000) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (64400-83100) IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4800-6200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 16 TO 23 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC                       S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RAIN   RAIN   NONE   NONE   NONE   RAIN
TEMP............44     49     52     54     53     48
RH..............45     36     32     31     35     42
20 FT WIND......E 10   E 11   E 11   E 10   E 9    E 7
20 FT WIND GUST.15     20     20     15     15     10
HAINES INDEX....4      3      3      3      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 31.
RH..................MAX 85 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO EXCELLENT (26100-75600) DECREASING TO
                    POOR (700-7400) IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100-5800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 8 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 3 TO
                    7 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 56.
RH..................MIN 38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1100-46600).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4300-4600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 6 TO 14 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...HULTQUIST
REQUESTED BY...DAVID C PAULY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120428.KROSC.01/MPX