FNUS72 KTAE 281207
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR 316...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
807 AM EDT SAT APR 28 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0745 EDT ON APRIL 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT (850)942-8835.

.DISCUSSION...THE MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS FORECAST TO DROP
TO JUST ABOVE 35 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON AT THE FIRE SITE WHILE THE
DISPERSION INDEX IS FORECAST TO RISE JUST ABOVE 75. THEREFORE...WE
ARE NOT QUITE FORECASTING RED FLAG CONDITIONS AT THE FIRE...BUT IT
WILL BE CLOSE. THE SEA BREEZE SHOULD REACH THE FIRE SITE BEFORE
CRITICAL RH IS REACHED. HOWEVER...IF THE SEA BREEZE IS SLIGHTLY
DELAYED THEN A MARGINAL RED FLAG EVENT WILL BE POSSIBLE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD
                    FOG IN THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........62 AT REQUEST...MAX 88.
RH..................83 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MIN 37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS CALM AT REQUEST...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO
                    10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL AT REQUEST...INCREASING TO 5500-5900
                    FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 2 TO 6 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 13 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION..........MAX 78.


TIME (EDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........24     39     33     33     27     19
WEATHER COV.....WIDSPD WIDSPD
WEATHER TYPE....FOG    FOG    NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............61     69     80     84     86     87
RH..............78     68     50     41     38     37
20 FT WIND......NW 0   E 1    SE 2   S 3    S 5    S 6
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     10     10     10     15

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 60.
RH..................MAX 99 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING CALM.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    AROUND 3 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN SHIFTING TO
                    THE NORTHWEST EARLY IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION..........MIN 3.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........19     10     10     10     10     10
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............87     83     73     69     67     64
RH..............38     46     66     75     82     88
20 FT WIND......S 7    S 7    SW 4   SW 1   SW 0   W 0
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     10     10     5      5

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 89.
RH..................MIN 41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 6
                    TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION..........MAX 42.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........10     10     10     12     14     14
WEATHER COV.....AREAS  AREAS
WEATHER TYPE....FOG    FOG    NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............62     61     74     82     86     88
RH..............95     99     63     48     43     41
20 FT WIND......N 0    NE 1   NE 1   E 1    E 2    SE 4
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      10     10     15

$$
FORECASTER...MARK WOOL
REQUESTED BY...MARY OWEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120428.316__.01/TAE