FNUS72 KTAE 291144
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR EXPEDITION FIRE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
744 AM EDT SUN APR 29 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0728 EDT ON APRIL 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT (850)942-8835.

.DISCUSSION...MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE FORECAST TO
REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS ACROSS THE TRI-STATE REGION TODAY.
THE MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS FORECAST TO DROP JUST UNDER 35
PERCENT MONDAY AFTERNOON OVER A SMALL AREA OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE
AND BIG BEND. WHILE ERC VALUES WILL BE ABOVE 20...ONLY A PORTION OF
THIS AREA MAY SEE DISPERSION VALUES AT OR ABOVE 75. WILL HOLD OFF
ON ISSUING A FIRE WEATHER WATCH AND REEVALUATE AFTER ANOTHER RUN
OF THE MODELS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY
TEMPERATURE.........64 AT REQUEST...MAX 90.
RH..................87 PCT AT REQUEST...MIN 40 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 2 MPH AT REQUEST...INCREASING
                    TO AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL AT REQUEST...INCREASING TO 5400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 4 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
                    5 TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....46.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY.............MSUNNY MSUNNY MSUNNY MSUNNY MSUNNY MSUNNY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............66     74     82     87     88     88
RH..............80     63     49     42     40     41
20 FT WIND......NE 2   E 4    E 4    SE 6   SE 7   SE 7
20 FT WIND GUST.                     10     10     10


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 62.
RH..................MAX 100 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST AROUND 4 MPH BECOMING NEAR CALM
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL BY MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 6 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....3.
MAX LVORI...........9.


TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY ............CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............83     73     68     66     65     64
RH..............51     74     86     91     96     100
20 FT WIND......SE 4   SE 2   S 1    E 1    E 1    E 1
20 FT WIND GUST.


.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 90.
RH..................MIN 39 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5200 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....80.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY ............SUNNY  SUNNY  MSUNNY MSUNNY MSUNNY MSUNNY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............63     77     83     87     88     88
RH..............100    66     52     42     39     41
20 FT WIND......E 2    E 4    E 5    E 6    E 6    SE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.              10     10     10     10


$$

FORECASTER...KELLY GODSEY
REQUESTED BY...MARY OWEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120429.EXPED.01/TAE