FNUS75 KBOU 010119 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR FLOWER...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 719 PM MDT MON APR 30 2012 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...MODERATE WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE OVER COLORADO AS A ZONAL UPPER AIR PATTERN REMAINS OVER THE REGION. AT THE SURFACE...A LEE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS EASTERN COLORADO...ALLOWING GUSTY WEST WINDS TO DEVELOP IN THE AFTERNOON. MID AND UPPER MOISTURE WILL BE INCREASING OVER THE STATE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...BUT SHOWER ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN OVER NORTHWESTERN COLORADO. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-42. MAX HUMIDITY........44-50%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 6-12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 2000...THEN GOOD UNTIL 2100...THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-70. MIN HUMIDITY........14-22%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5-10 MPH UNTIL 1200 THEN SOUTHWEST 12-18 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 21-32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 10600-11600 FT AGL AFTER 1100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TUESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 2400...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-44. MAX HUMIDITY........50-58%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10-15 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......10600 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2300. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 0500. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-70. MIN HUMIDITY........18-26%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 7-13 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 10800-11800 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0600. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR FLOWER. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 04/30-19 31 0 0 58 18 SW10 16 3 1 W37 5864 W20 125896 V 04/30-20 31 0 0 55 22 W 8 8 3 1 W39 3138 W14 64485 G 04/30-21 31 0 0 51 26 W 6 6 2 1 W40 412 W 8 3074 P 04/30-22 31 0 0 49 29 W 6 6 2 1 W39 354 W 9 2751 P 04/30-23 31 0 0 47 32 SW 6 6 2 1 W38 295 SW 9 2429 P 05/01-00 49 0 0 45 34 SW 7 7 2 1 W37 236 SW10 2106 P 05/01-01 49 0 0 44 35 SW 7 7 2 1 W38 223 W10 2104 P 05/01-02 49 0 0 43 37 W 7 7 2 1 W39 211 W12 2103 P 05/01-03 49 0 0 42 39 W 8 13 2 1 W41 198 W13 2101 P 05/01-04 49 0 0 42 41 W 9 15 2 1 W44 215 W13 2426 P 05/01-05 49 0 0 42 43 W12 18 2 1 W46 232 W14 2751 P 05/01-06 63 0 0 42 44 W13 21 2 1 W48 248 W14 3076 P 05/01-07 63 0 0 43 42 W13 21 2 1 W52 1828 W20 46366 F 05/01-08 63 0 0 47 37 W13 20 2 1 W55 3409 W25 89656 G 05/01-09 63 0 0 51 32 W12 18 2 1 W58 4989 W31 132946 V 05/01-10 63 0 0 55 27 W12 18 2 1 W58 6494 W32 182959 E 05/01-11 63 0 0 59 24 SW12 18 2 1 W55 8000 W33 232972 E 05/01-12 67 0 0 62 22 SW12 18 2 1 W54 9505 W35 282985 E 05/01-13 67 0 0 64 20 SW13 20 2 1 W53 10323 W32 284335 E 05/01-14 67 0 0 65 19 SW13 21 3 1 W52 11140 W30 285685 E 05/01-15 67 0 0 66 18 SW14 22 3 1 W49 11957 W28 287035 E 05/01-16 67 0 0 66 18 SW14 22 3 1 W48 11529 W25 260245 E 05/01-17 67 0 0 65 19 SW13 21 3 1 W45 11101 W24 233455 E 05/01-18 72 0 0 63 20 SW13 21 3 1 W41 10673 W22 206666 E 05/01-19 72 0 0 61 23 SW13 20 3 1 W38 7608 W21 144942 V 05/01-20 72 0 0 57 27 W13 20 2 1 W33 4544 W18 83218 G 05/01-21 72 0 0 53 32 W13 21 2 1 W29 1480 W17 21494 P 05/01-22 72 0 0 50 37 W12 20 2 1 SW25 1100 W16 15637 P 05/01-23 72 0 0 48 40 W12 12 3 1 SW23 719 W15 9779 P 05/02-00 41 0 0 46 44 W10 10 3 1 SW22 339 W14 3922 P 05/02-01 41 0 0 44 46 W10 10 3 1 SW22 310 W14 3630 P 05/02-02 41 0 0 43 48 W10 10 3 1 SW23 281 W14 3338 P 05/02-03 41 0 0 42 50 SW10 10 3 1 SW24 253 SW14 3047 P 05/02-04 41 0 0 41 50 SW10 10 3 1 SW24 256 SW14 2954 P 05/02-05 41 0 0 41 50 SW10 10 3 1 SW25 259 SW13 2862 P 05/02-06 59 0 0 42 49 SW 9 9 3 1 SW25 262 SW13 2769 P 05/02-07 59 0 0 43 45 SW 8 8 3 1 SW25 1306 SW13 15552 P 05/02-08 59 0 0 47 40 SW 6 6 3 1 SW24 2350 SW14 28334 P 05/02-09 59 0 0 51 34 SW 5 5 3 1 W24 3394 W14 41117 F 05/02-10 59 0 0 55 29 S 6 6 3 1 W26 5640 SW15 82229 G 05/02-11 59 0 0 59 25 S 7 7 2 1 W29 7886 SW17 123341 V 05/02-12 74 20 4 62 23 S 8 8 2 3 W31 10131 SW18 164453 E 05/02-13 74 20 4 64 21 S 9 9 2 3 W32 10804 SW20 179679 E 05/02-14 74 20 4 65 20 S 9 9 3 3 SW33 11477 SW20 194904 E 05/02-15 74 20 4 66 20 S 9 9 3 3 SW33 12149 SW20 210130 E 05/02-16 74 20 4 66 20 S 7 7 3 3 SW31 11667 SW18 184233 E 05/02-17 74 20 4 65 21 SW 3 3 3 3 SW28 11184 SW16 158336 E 05/02-18 74 20 4 63 22 W 2 2 3 3 SW25 10702 W14 132439 V 05/02-19 74 20 4 61 25 W 6 6 3 3 SW25 7881 W16 102107 V 05/02-20 74 20 4 56 30 W10 10 3 3 SW24 5061 W18 71774 G 05/02-21 74 20 4 52 36 W15 24 3 3 SW25 2241 W21 41442 F 05/02-22 74 20 4 49 42 W16 25 3 3 SW24 1628 W21 30097 P 05/02-23 74 20 4 47 47 W16 25 3 3 W24 1015 W21 18752 P 05/03-00 47 0 0 45 52 W15 24 3 1 W24 402 W21 7407 P 05/03-01 47 0 0 44 56 W15 23 3 1 W24 332 W18 5747 P 05/03-02 47 0 0 42 60 W14 22 3 1 W25 262 W17 4087 P 05/03-03 47 0 0 41 63 W13 21 3 1 W25 193 W15 2427 P 05/03-04 47 0 0 41 65 W12 18 3 1 W26 185 W13 2101 P 05/03-05 47 0 0 40 66 W10 10 2 1 W26 177 W12 1775 P 05/03-06 49 0 0 41 65 W 9 9 2 1 W26 169 W10 1450 P 05/03-07 49 0 0 42 61 SW 8 8 2 1 W25 852 SW 9 6621 P 05/03-08 49 0 0 46 53 S 7 7 3 1 SW25 1535 SW 9 11793 P 05/03-09 49 0 0 50 45 S 7 7 3 1 SW25 2217 S 9 16964 P 05/03-10 49 0 0 55 38 S 8 8 3 1 SW29 4632 S13 63438 G 05/03-11 49 0 0 59 33 SE10 10 3 1 SW32 7048 SW16 109912 V 05/03-12 66 10 2 62 29 SE13 21 3 2 SW36 9463 SW20 156385 E 05/03-13 66 10 2 64 27 SE13 21 3 2 SW38 10645 SW21 198021 E 05/03-14 66 10 2 65 25 S13 21 3 2 SW39 11827 SW23 239656 E 05/03-15 66 10 2 66 23 S12 18 3 2 SW40 13009 SW25 281291 E 05/03-16 66 10 2 66 23 S 9 9 3 2 SW41 12442 SW24 261732 E 05/03-17 66 10 2 65 23 S 7 7 3 2 SW40 11875 SW23 242172 E 05/03-18 56 0 0 63 25 S 5 5 3 1 SW40 11309 SW23 222613 E KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ DANKERS...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...FORT COLLINS DISPATCH REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120430.FLOWE.01/BOU