FNUS73 KDLH 301724
FWSDLH

SPOT FORECAST FOR LAKE 13 RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
1224 PM CDT MON APR 30 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 CDT ON APRIL 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

.TODAY...EXPECT THE BROKEN CLOUD COVER TO GRADUALLY CLEAR THROUGH
THIS AFTERNOON. MOST WINDS AROUND THE REGION ARE FROM THE SW...BUT
THE AREA BETWEEN CASS LAKE AND LEECH LAKE SEEMS TO HAVE MORE S WINDS
THIS MORNING. THIS MAY BE DUE FROM OUTFLOW FROM LEECH LAKE. TRIED
TO REFLECT THIS FOR THE NEXT COUPLE HOURS...BUT THEN WINDS SHOULD
BECOME MORE SW BY MID AFTERNOON AS A BROAD TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE
IN THE RED RIVER VALLEY APPROACHES THE BURN LOCATION. TEMPERATURES
SHOULD CLIMB FASTER NOW THAT THE SUN IS STARTING TO SHOW ITSELF.
THE HIGH SHOULD BE AROUND 62 OR JUST UNDER. RELATIVE HUMIDITY
WILL LIKELY FALL TO AROUND 45 PERCENT. THERE MAY BE SOME ISOLATED
LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS NEARBY THIS AFTERNOON...BUT THINK THOSE WILL
REMAIN EAST OF THE BURN SITE.

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 8 TO
                    9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7450 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (99000-104000) IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
TEMP............59     62     62
RH..............59     48     47
20 FT WIND DIR..S      SW     SW
20 FT WIND SPD..9      9      8
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     14

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY THEN
                    BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 30
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46.
MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 3 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (42400) DECREASING TO POOR (2350) IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
TEMP............61     57     51     46     46     46
RH..............43     51     63     72     75     79
20 FT WIND DIR..SW     SW     S      S      S      SE
20 FT WIND SPD..7      5      3      4      5      6
20 FT WIND GUST.8      6             5      6      7

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY THEN
                    BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE
                    OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71.
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 12
                    TO 16 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 25 TO 30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (7800) INCREASING TO GOOD (36300) LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (91900) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (77600) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
TEMP............46     52     59     66     69     69
RH..............85     77     69     62     57     58
20 FT WIND DIR..SE     SE     S      S      S      S
20 FT WIND SPD..8      11     13     15     16     13
20 FT WIND GUST.10     16     21     23     24     21

$$
FORECASTER...GEOFF
REQUESTED BY...RYAN KINGSLEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120430.LAKE1.01/DLH