FNUS74 KMAF 302101 FWSMAF SPOT FORECAST FOR LIVERMORE RANCH COMPLEX...TFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 401 PM CDT MON APR 30 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1552 CDT ON APRIL 30. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS AND LIGHTNING DANGER. .DISCUSSION... A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR JEFF DAVIS COUNTY UNTIL 10 PM CDT. ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS INCLUDING A FEW DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES ARE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING. THIS INSTABILITY HAS ALSO RESULTED IN A HIGH HAINES INDEX FOR TODAY. OVERNIGHT RH RECOVERY WILL BE FAIR WITH RH VALUES DROPPING TO AROUND 10 PERCENT TUESDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BECOME DOWNVALLEY TERRAIN DRIVEN AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN INCREASE OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST TO 20 TO 25 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS ON TUESDAY. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52. MAX HUMIDITY........53-73 PCT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING TERRAIN DOMINATED 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF PRECIP....10 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........6 (HIGH). SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (175000 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR (200 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE NONE NONE CHC PCPN (%)....20 20 20 0 0 0 TEMP............78 71 65 60 57 55 RH..............18 21 24 28 39 54 20 FT WIND DIR..SW W NW N N S 20 FT WIND SPD..14 11 5 3 4 5 20 FT WIND GUST.15 5 5 10 MIX HGT (FT)....14000 14000 500 500 500 BLW100 TRANS WIND DIR..W W W SW SW NE TRANS WIND SPD..12 12 4 2 2 3 VENT CAT........EXCLNT EXCLNT POOR POOR POOR POOR HAINES INDEX....6 6 6 5 5 4 .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79. MIN HUMIDITY........17 PCT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 16 TO 22 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIP....10 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 (MODERATE). SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (12300 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (248000 KNOT-FT). TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........CLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE CHC PCPN (%)....0 0 0 10 10 10 TEMP............53 58 67 73 76 78 RH..............70 55 34 23 20 18 20 FT WIND DIR..S S SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..9 10 11 13 17 21 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 15 20 25 MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100 BLW100 2500 13000 13000 15500 TRANS WIND DIR..S S W SW SW SW TRANS WIND SPD..5 5 5 15 15 16 VENT CAT........POOR POOR POOR EXCLNT EXCLNT EXCLNT HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 3 3 5 $$ FORECASTER...FAGEN REQUESTED BY...DEWEY WATSON TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120430.LIVER.02/MAF