FNUS76 KMFR 300652
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR MODOC NWR...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1152 PM PDT SUN APR 29 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 PDT ON APRIL 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...MODERATE TO STRONG GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
AN INCOMING COLD FRONT WILL BRING PLENTY OF CLOUDS AND SLIGHTLY COOLER
TEMPERATURES TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING, WITH MORE SIGNIFICANT COOLING AS
SKIES CLEAR TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. THE PRIMARY CONCERN FOR TODAY AND, TO
A LESSER DEGREE, FOR LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON IS GUSTY WINDS. TODAY HUMIDITIES
WILL BE UP A BIT WITH THE MOSTLY DRY FRONT MOVING THROUGH AND THE THREAT
OF SOME LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS. ON TUESDAY THERE WILL BE LESS WIND, BUT LOWER
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES IN THE AFTERNOON.


.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 30% CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
MIN HUMIDITY........31-37 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WIND 9 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS 12 TO 18 MPH
                    BECOMING WEST 9 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS 15 TO 21 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL AT PLANNED IGNITION TIME INCREASING TO
                    8000-10,000 FT AGL DURING THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH BECOMING WEST 25 TO 35 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.


.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE EVENING, THEN CLEARING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-34.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-95 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WIND BECOMING NORTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH WITH GUSTS 9 TO 15 MPH
                    BY LATE EVENING, THEN BECOMING CALM OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.


.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-21 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....CALM EARLY, BECOMING WEST-NORTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH LATE
                    MORNING, THEN INCREASING TO WEST-NORTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS 12 TO 18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.


$$
FORECASTER...LUTZ
REQUESTED BY...RUTH JOHNSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120430.MODOC.01/MFR