FNUS73 KMPX 301034 FWSMPX SPOT FORECAST FOR BIG FISH...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 534 AM CDT MON APR 30 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 30. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TODAY... WITH A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE PLANNING AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL PICK UP FROM THE SOUTHWEST BEHIND THE TROUGH... AND WILL INCREASE FURTHER LATE TONIGHT AND DURING THE DAY ON TUESDAY AS LOW PRESSURE ORGANIZES FROM SOUTHERN CANADA INTO THE HIGH PLAINS. THIS AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST THROUGH SOUTHERN CANADA TUESDAY NIGHT... DRAGGING A COLD FRONT ACROSS MINNESOTA. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FROM LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE STATE. THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO STALL OUT FROM FAR SOUTHERN MINNESOTA INTO CENTRAL WISCONSIN THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK... BRINGING PERIODIC CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG WITH MILD TEMPERATURES. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........55 AT IGNITION...MAX 67. RH..................72 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 42 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 5. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (23800-51400) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (81700-122600) LATE IN THE MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-2800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6600-7800 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........WEST 14 TO 21 MPH. TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM SKY (%).........CDY MC MC MC PC PC PC PC PC MCR MCR MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............52 53 55 58 61 64 65 66 66 66 67 66 RH..............80 77 72 64 58 52 50 47 45 43 42 42 20 FT WIND DIR..S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W 20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 7 7 7 8 8 8 9 9 8 7 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 10 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 5 5 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF RAIN 20 PERCENT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 51. RH..................MAX 86 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (47000-87100) DECREASING TO POOR TO FAIR (1100-17200) EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIXING HEIGHT.......4100-6000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-2200 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIXING WINDS........WEST 15 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 6 TO 12 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 77. RH..................MIN 54 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW TO OR LOW. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (2500-31300) INCREASING TO GOOD TO EXCELLENT (54500-81600) LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (110200-151200) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (165000) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO EXCELLENT (63100-112800). MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-4300 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 4400-6100 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 2700 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 14 TO 21 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH 31 TO 37 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...HULTQUIST REQUESTED BY...KRIS LARSON TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120430.BIGFI.01/MPX SKY (%) LEGEND CLR = CLEAR MCR = MOSTLY CLEAR PC = PARTLY CLOUDY MC = MOSTLY CLOUDY CDY = CLOUDY