FNUS71 KCTP 301255 FWSCTP SPOT FORECAST FOR BEIDLEHEIMER FENCE RX...BOF FD#5 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 855 AM EDT MON APR 30 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MAY 01. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST OF PENNSYLVANIA TODAY AS A WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH THROUGH THE STATE. LIGHT TO MODERATE SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL ALLOW FOR HIGHER RELATIVE HUMIDITY THAN RECENT DAYS...THOUGH MINIMUM RH VALUES THIS AFTERNOON WILL STILL FALL TO BETWEEN 35 AND 40 PERCENT. SHOWERS ARE LIKELY WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT AS A WAVE OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE MOVES EAST FROM THE OHIO VALLEY. A BRIEF PERIOD OF DRYING WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE DISTRICT TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING AS THE FRONT IS PUSHED SOUTH OF THE STATE IN THE WAKE OF THE LOW. THE BOUNDARY TO OUR SOUTH WILL MOVE BACK NORTH AS A WARM FRONT WEDNESDAY AND REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY ACROSS PENNSYLVANIA FOR THE SECOND HALF OF THIS WEEK...SUPPORTING SEVERAL CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INTO THE LATE MORNING...THEN PARTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72. MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING WEST 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 1100...THEN 9-15 STRIKES. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-3000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3500-5100 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 12 MPH...BECOMING WEST 10 TO 18 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO 21 TO 22 MPH LATE. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............90 87 84 81 80 77 72 67 WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE........RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TSTM COV............ CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC TEMP................62 64 66 67 69 70 72 70 RH..................76 72 67 62 58 55 51 54 20 FT WIND DIR......W W W W W W W W 20 FT WIND SPD......2 3 5 6 7 8 9 9 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 10 10 10 15 15 MIX HGT (KFT).......2.5 3.0 3.5 4.1 4.5 4.9 5.1 5.0 TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW W W W W W W W TRANSP WIND SPD.....10 13 14 16 17 18 21 22 LAL.................1 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 4 4 4 5 .TUESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53. MAX HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. LAL.................9-15 STRIKES UNTIL 2000...THEN NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......MISSING. TRANSPORT WINDS..... HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............61 56 54 54 56 57 59 60 61 62 65 69 WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE........RW RW RW RW RW RW TSTM COV............CHC CHC TEMP................68 66 65 63 62 61 60 60 59 58 57 56 RH..................56 60 62 64 66 68 68 68 68 71 73 77 20 FT WIND DIR......W W W W W W NW NW NW NW N N 20 FT WIND SPD......8 7 5 5 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT).......M M M M M M M M M M M M TRANSP WIND DIR.....M M M M M M M M M M M M TRANSP WIND SPD.....M M M M M M M M M M M M LAL.................3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 2 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75. MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 0800...THEN 9-15 STRIKES. MIXING HEIGHT.......MISSING. TRANSPORT WINDS..... HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............72 75 76 77 77 78 78 79 79 77 74 70 WEATHER COV.........SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE........RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TSTM COV............ CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC TEMP................54 55 58 61 63 66 68 70 71 73 75 73 RH..................83 83 74 70 66 61 59 56 54 53 51 55 20 FT WIND DIR......N E E SE S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD......2 1 1 2 3 5 6 6 7 8 8 8 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT).......M M M M M M M M M M M M TRANSP WIND DIR.....M M M M M M M M M M M M TRANSP WIND SPD.....M M M M M M M M M M M M LAL.................1 1 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 HAINES INDEX........2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...LAMBERT REQUESTED BY...DAN LECRONE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120501.BEIDL.01/CTP