FNUS75 KGJT 011813
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR OLGUIN PASTURE...SOUTHERN UTE AGENCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1213 PM MDT TUE MAY 1 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1125 MDT ON MAY 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THE MAIN JET STREAM AND EMBEDDED DISTURBANCES WILL BE MOVING NEAR
THE NORTHERN COLORADO BORDER ON WEDNESDAY LEAVING THE BULK OF THE
PRECIPITATION CHANCES WELL TO THE NORTH OF THE BURN AREA. DEEP
SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS SOUTHWEST COLORADO ON
WEDNESDAY AND GRADIENT WINDS SHOULD BEGIN TO TURN FROM THIS
DIRECTION AS MIXING BEGINS BY MID MORNING...INCREASING THROUGH
MID AFTERNOON AS THE MIXING DEEPENS. A FEW GUSTS NEAR 25 MPH WILL
BE POSSIBLE DURING THE PEAK HEATING HOURS. AS THE NORTHERN
DISTURBANCE  PASSES THROUGH LATE IN THE DAY...THE UPPER LEVEL WINDS
WILL TURN MORE WESTERLY AND THIS MAY RESULT IN A GRADUAL SURFACE WIND
SHIFT MORE TO THE WEST BY LATE AFTERNOON.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 73 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........11-16%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS THROUGH 1000 THEN
                    BECOMING SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 8 MPH BY LATE MORNING.
                    BY 1300 SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 12 TO 17
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON AND MAY GRADUALLY SHIFT MORE
                    TO THE WEST AS MIXING INCREASES AT PEAK HEATING.
                    A FEW GUST MAY APPROACH 25 MPH BY MID AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR THROUGH 100 THEN INCREASING TO FAIR BY MID
                    MORNING...THEN BECOMING VERY GOOD BY MID
                    AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...DENNIS PHILLIPS
REQUESTED BY...HOWARD RICHARDS JR
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120501.OLGUI.01/GJT