FNUS74 KMAF 012123 FWSMAF SPOT FORECAST FOR LIVERMORE RANCH COMPLEX...TEXAS FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 423 PM CDT TUE MAY 1 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1448 MDT ON MAY 01. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS AND LIGHTNING DANGER. .DISCUSSION... WEAK UPPER RIDGE OVER THE AREA SUPPRESSING MOST CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE UNSEASONABLY WARM WITH THERMAL RIDGE EXTENDING FROM MEXICO ACROSS THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS TO THE PANHANDLE. A FEW CUMULUS CLOUDS HAVE DEVELOPED THIS AFTERNOON OVER AND SOUTH OF THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS INDICATING SOME MOISTURE ALOFT AND SOME INSTABILITY. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE OF HIGH BASED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING THIS AFTERNOON WHICH WOULD BE ACCOMPANIED BY DRY LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WIND. THE HAINES INDEX WILL REMAIN HIGH. OVERALL FLOW WILL BE WEST TO SOUTHWEST BUT WINDS WILL BECOME TERRAIN DOMINATED ONCE THEY DECOUPLE. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........A FEW CLOUDS EARLY... BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-49. MAX HUMIDITY........35-40 PCT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH... GUSTS TO 25 MPH EARLY. CHANCE OF PRECIP....10 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........6 (HIGH). SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (189000 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR (1500 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TIME (MDT) 6 PM 10 PM 2 AM SKY (%).........PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE CHC PCPN (%)....10 0 0 TEMP............79 62 51 RH..............12 22 32 20 FT WIND DIR..SW W W 20 FT WIND SPD..15 13 9 20 FT WIND GUST.25 MIX HGT (FT)....13500 500 500 TRANS WIND DIR..SW W W TRANS WIND SPD..14 5 2 VENT CAT........EXCLNT POOR POOR HAINES INDEX....6 6 6 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90. MIN HUMIDITY........9 PCT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 19 MPH. GUSTS IN AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PRECIP....10 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........6 (HIGH). SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (358500 KNOT-FT). TIME (MDT) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE CHC PCPN (%)....0 0 10 TEMP............46 70 84 RH..............44 15 10 20 FT WIND DIR..W SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..12 15 19 20 FT WIND GUST.15 25 MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100 5000 12500 TRANS WIND DIR..W W SW TRANS WIND SPD..10 14 21 VENT CAT........POOR GOOD EXCLNT HAINES INDEX....5 5 6 $$ FORECASTER...CAIN REQUESTED BY...DEWEY WATSON TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120501.LIVER.02/MAF