FNUS76 KMFR 010315
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR CITY OF ASHLAND RX...GFI
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
815 PM PDT MON APR 30 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PDT ON MAY 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A GENERAL NORTHWEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY WITH SOME GUSTINESS EXPECTED
IN THE LATTER PART OF THE AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING. WINDS A COUPLE OF
THOUSAND FEET ABOVE THE BURN WILL BE A LITTLE MORE WEST TO EAST IN THE
AFTERNOON WHICH MEANS THAT SOME GUSTS COULD BE FROM WEST-NORTHWEST TO
WEST. HOWEVER, GOOD MIXING SHOULD CAUSE DISPERSION TO BE GOOD, LIFTING
SMOKE FROM THE BURN ABOVE THE TERRAIN TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST. THERE WILL
BE A MARINE PUSH IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING TOMORROW WHICH COULD RESULT
IN A LIGHT SPRINKLE OF RAIN IN THE EVENING. FULL RH RECOVERY IS EXPECTED
TOMORROW NIGHT.

* NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED IN THE MORNING PRIOR TO IGNITION. PREDICTED
RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT 1100L IS 55 TO 65 PERCENT.


.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........A FEW LOW CLOUDS EARLY, THEN SUNNY IN THE MORNING.
                    BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE AFTERNOON AS SCATTERED
                    CUMULUS DEVELOPS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....VARIABLE 0-2 MPH EARLY MORNING, BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    0-2 MPH LATE MORNING, THEN NORTHWEST 3-5 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS 5-7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL OR LESS EARLY MORNING, INCREASING TO
                    3500 FT AGL BY IGNITION TIME, THEN INCREASING TO
                    7000-8000 FT AGL LATE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 0-5 MPH IN THE MORNING INCREASING AND
                    BECOMING WEST-NORTHWEST 10-20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.


.TUESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE EVENING WITH A SLIGHT (20%) CHANCE
                    OF LIGHT RAIN OR DRIZZLE. BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY TOWARD
                    MORNING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-37.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....3 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING DIMINISHING AND BECOMING
                    NORTH 0-3 MPH LATE EVENING, THEN VARIABLE 2 MPH OR LESS
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300-5900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1700-2900 FT
                    AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH BECOMING BECOMING NORTH AT 5 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.


$$
FORECASTER...LUTZ
REQUESTED BY...JESSE KIENE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120501.CITYO.01/MFR