FNUS73 KMPX 011208
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR 10 MILE...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
708 AM CDT TUE MAY 1 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON MAY 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
AN UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE PLANNING
FORECAST AREA THROUGH THURSDAY AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE
REGION THEN SETTLES SOUTH OF THE AREA FOR THE END OF THE WEEK.
IT SHOULD BE DRY FOR THE DAY...WITH ANY SHOWERS MAINLY NORTH OF
THE AREA. AN AREA OF LOW CLOUDS MAY ALSO MOVE IN FOR PART OF THE
MORNING. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND
INTENSITY TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THEN GRADUALLY DIMINISH
GOING INTO THURSDAY AS THE FRONT PASSES THROUGH AND SOUTH OF THE
AREA.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........69 AT IGNITION...MAX 73.
RH..................63 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 59 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 15 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 6.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (11600-59500) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (72800-109900) IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO GOOD (36900)
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-3600 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 1500 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 23 TO 30 MPH INCREASING TO 33 TO 40 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............61     69     71     72     71     68
RH..............75     63     61     61     63     76
20 FT WIND......S 11   S 14   S 15   S 15   S 14   S 11
20 FT WIND GUST.20     25     25     25     25     20
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      3      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    LIKELY. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 60.
RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 77.
RH..................MIN 56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW TO OR LOW.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1700-41300).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3100-4900 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN
                    DECREASING TO 1500-2800 FT AGL LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 7 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 6 TO
                    7 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO
                    THE SOUTHEAST 8 TO 13 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.

$$
FORECASTER...RICHARDSON
REQUESTED BY...RX FIRE SPLST
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120501.10MIL.01/MPX