FNUS73 KMPX 011227
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR LOST VALLEY SNA...MN DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
727 AM CDT TUE MAY 1 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MAY 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
AN UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE PLANNING
FORECAST AREA THROUGH THURSDAY AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE
REGION THEN SETTLES SOUTH OF THE AREA FOR THE END OF THE WEEK.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY
TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. IT SHOULD BE DRY FOR THE REMAINDER OF
THE DAY BUT A BATCH OF LOW CLOUDS MAY BE OVER THE SITE THROUGH THE
MORNING. THIS MAY KEEP TEMPERATURES FROM RISING TOO FAST THIS
MORNING.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........63 AT IGNITION...MAX 74.
RH..................75 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 12 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (10600-53700) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (63800-99600) LATE IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO GOOD (30200) LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-3700 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON...THEN
                    DECREASING TO 1400 FT AGL LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 20 TO 26 MPH INCREASING TO 29 TO 36 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.

TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............57     63     71     73     74     70
RH..............83     75     63     59     57     68
20 FT WIND......S 9    S 11   S 11   S 11   S 11   S 10
20 FT WIND GUST.15     20     20     20     20     15
HAINES INDEX....4      4      3      3      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    LIKELY. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 61.
RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 78.
RH..................MIN 58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW TO OR LOW.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1300-48800).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-4300 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    3600-4700 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 1400-2500 FT AGL LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 5 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 13
                    TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...RICHARDSON
REQUESTED BY...RUSSELL SMITH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120501.LOSTV.01/MPX