FNUS75 KGJT 011822
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR CHIMNEY PARK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1222 PM MDT TUE MAY 1 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 MDT ON MAY 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A DISTURBANCE WILL DROP DOWN FROM THE NORTHWEST
TOMORROW BUT WILL NOT REACH AS FAR SOUTH AS THE BURN SITE. NO
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED...HOWEVER CLOUDS WILL INCREASE AND
THICKEN IN THE AFTERNOON. THE MAIN CONCERN WILL BE WINDS BECOMING
SOUTHWEST AND INCREASING DURING THE LATE MORNING THROUGH EARLY
AFTERNOON AND LASTING UNTIL SUNSET. SKIES WILL CLEAR OVERNIGHT
WITH DRIER AIR MOVING IN FOR THURSDAY AND INCREASING SOUTHWEST WINDS.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-59 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CLEARING INDEX......200 INCREASING TO 500 BY 10 AM...THEN 1050
                    BY 2 PM.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 10AM THEN INCREASING TO
                    8000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 23 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........44-49%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH UNTIL 10 PM...
                    THEN DOWNSLOPE 3 TO 6 MPH.
CLEARING INDEX......DECREASING TO 50 AFTER DARK.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 MPH UNTIL 10 PM...THEN BECOMING
                    DOWNSLOPE 6 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-61 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CLEARING INDEX......200 INCREASING TO 500 BY 10 AM...THEN 1050
                    BY 2 PM.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 10AM THEN INCREASING TO
                    8500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 26 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...CHRIS CUOCO/MATT ALEKSA
REQUESTED BY...RENEE JACK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120502.CHIMN.01/GJT