FNUS72 KJAX 021050 FWSJAX SPOT FORECAST FOR COUNTY LINE FIRE...TYPE 3 TEAM, BENTLEY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 650 AM EDT WED MAY 2 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0637 EDT ON MAY 02. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...DENSE FOG AND SMOKE WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES NEAR THE FIRE SITE THIS MORNING BELOW A QUARTER MILE IN MANY LOCATIONS. THE FOG WILL GRADUALLY ERODE AND LIFT INTO A LOW CLOUD DECK THROUGH MID-MORNING. SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE LATE THIS MORNING TO 5 TO 10 MPH BY NOON. SPEEDS OF 10 TO 15 MPH ARE EXPECTED LATE THIS AFTERNOON WHEN THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE PUSHES WEST OF THE FIRE SITE. THERE IS A VERY LOW CHANCE (< 20%) OF A LATE AFTERNOON OR EVENING SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM ASSOCIATED WITH THE SEA BREEZE MERGER. WIND SPEEDS AND DIRECTIONS WILL BE VARIABLE NEAR CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. DISPERSIONS WILL BE HIGH AND ERC VALUES WILL RANGE FROM 33 TO 36 UNITS TODAY. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL RANGE FROM 36% TO 40% THIS AFTERNOON. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD DENSE FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING WITH VISIBILITIES LESS THAN A QUARTER MILE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90. MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 12 MPH IN THE BY AFTERNOON. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000-5400 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 1 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 10 TO 17 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. DISPERSION INDEX....INCREASING TO 77 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. LVORI...............6. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........50 33 30 26 26 26 WEATHER COV.....WIDSPD WIDSPD WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............64 73 83 88 90 90 RH..............100 100 70 51 38 41 20 FT WIND......SE 1 SE 5 SE 7 E 7 E 8 E 12 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....100 1000 2700 4600 5400 5300 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 1 SE 7 SE 13 E 13 E 12 E 17 LVORI...........10 9 3 1 1 1 DISPERSION INDX.2 4 7 63 77 75 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 10 10 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 13 TO 21 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 0 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....DECREASING TO 4. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. LVORI...............6. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........26 26 32 37 37 38 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............86 79 73 70 67 65 RH..............45 59 73 82 91 99 20 FT WIND......E 12 E 9 E 8 SE 6 SE 2 SE 0 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 10 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....4500 2900 1800 1100 600 100 TRANSPORT WIND..E 20 SE 21 SE 17 SE 13 SE 8 SE 2 LVORI...........1 1 3 4 6 9 DISPERSION INDX.79 67 45 7 5 2 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 LAL.............1 1 2 2 2 1 .THURSDAY... MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90. MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4900-5500 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 0 TO 8 MPH INCREASING TO 9 TO 12 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. DISPERSION INDEX....INCREASING TO 58 IN THE AFTERNOON. SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). $$ FORECASTER...ENYEDI REQUESTED BY...JEFF DEMATTEIS TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120502.COUNT.01/JAX