FNUS74 KMAF 021246
FWSMAF

SPOT FORECAST FOR LIVERMORE RANCH COMPLEX...TFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
746 AM CDT WED MAY 2 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0606 MDT ON MAY 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS AND LIGHTNING DANGER.

.DISCUSSION...
A VERY WELL MIXED LOWER ATMOSPHERE WILL LEAD ONCE AGAIN TO HIGH
HAINES INDEX VALUES AND THE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE FIRE GROWTH TODAY.
WINDS INDICATED IN THE TABLE BELOW ARE MORE INDICATIVE OF RIDGE
TOP VALUES...WITH LIGHTER AND MORE TERRAIN DOMINATED WINDS ALONG
THE SLOPES. HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS OVER MEXICO WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
SITE TONIGHT AND BEFORE DIMINISHING TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. CURRENT DEWPOINTS WILL DIMINISH THIS AFTERNOON BUT
SHOULD INCREASE ABOUT 10 DEGREES OVER THE 24 HOUR PERIOD AS SOME
OF THE UPPER MOISTURE MOVING IN TONIGHT IS ABLE TO MIX INTO THE
LOWER LEVELS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81.
MIN HUMIDITY........10 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....10 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........6 (HIGH).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (16700 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (188700 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).........CLEAR     MCLEAR    MCLEAR    PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
CHC PCPN (%)....10        10        10        10
TEMP............45        61        75        79
RH..............45        21        12        9
20 FT WIND DIR..W         W         W         SW
20 FT WIND SPD..15        15        17        19
20 FT WIND GUST.20        20        20        25
MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100    2000      13500     15000
TRANS WIND DIR..W         W         SW        SW
TRANS WIND SPD..12        10        13        12
VENT CAT........POOR      POOR      EXCLNT    EXCLNT
HAINES INDEX....6         6         6         6

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
MAX HUMIDITY........41 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....10 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........6 (HIGH).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (123500 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR
                    (2900 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.

TIME (MDT)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
SKY (%).........PCLDY     PCLDY     MCLDY     MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
CHC PCPN (%)....10        10        10        10
TEMP............77        65        56        50
RH..............10        15        22        31
20 FT WIND DIR..SW        SW        SW        W
20 FT WIND SPD..19        12        12        10
20 FT WIND GUST.25        15        15
MIX HGT (FT)....13000     500       500       500
TRANS WIND DIR..SW        W         SW        NW
TRANS WIND SPD..10        4         3         6
VENT CAT........VYGOOD    POOR      POOR      POOR
HAINES INDEX....6         6         6         6

$$

FORECASTER...HENNIG
REQUESTED BY...DEWEY WATSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120502.LIVER.01/MAF