FNUS74 KMAF 022048
FWSMAF

SPOT FORECAST FOR LIVERMORE RANCH COMPLEX...TFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
348 PM CDT WED MAY 2 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1425 MDT ON MAY 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS AND LIGHTNING DANGER.

.DISCUSSION...
A HIGH HAINES INDEX THROUGH TOMORROW WILL LEAD TO INSTABILITY
NEAR ON-GOING FIRES. THIS INSTABILITY WILL COMBINE WITH AN
INCREASE IN MOISTURE ALOFT TO PRODUCE A FEW DRY LIGHTNING
STRIKES IN OR NEAR THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
OTHERWISE...OVERNIGHT RH RECOVERY WILL BE POOR WITH AFTERNOON
RH VALUES DROPPING TO AROUND 10 PERCENT. WIND SPEEDS SHOULD
DECREASE AROUND MIDNIGHT...WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
15 MPH RETURNING BY MIDDAY THURSDAY.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MAX HUMIDITY........21-31 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 13 TO 18 MPH BECOMING TO NORTHWEST
                    10 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........6 (HIGH).
CHANCE OF PRECIP....10 PERCENT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (182000 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR
                    (1900 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.

TIME (MDT)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR    PCLDY     PCLDY     MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
CHC PCPN (%)....10        10        0         0
TEMP............78        68        62        58
RH..............8         16        28        24
20 FT WIND DIR..SW        S         SW        NW
20 FT WIND SPD..15        10        12        14
20 FT WIND GUST.20                  15        20
MIX HGT (FT)....13000     500       BLW100    BLW100
TRANS WIND DIR..SW        W         SW        NW
TRANS WIND SPD..14        5         7         9
VENT CAT........EXCLNT    POOR      POOR      POOR
HAINES INDEX....6         6         6         6

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY
                    BY AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79.
MIN HUMIDITY........11 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST TO SOUTHWEST INCREASING TO 12 TO 17 MPH
                    BY LATE MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........6 (HIGH).
CHANCE OF PRECIP....10 PERCENT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (17200 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (194000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN
                    DECREASING TO EXCELLENT (134500 KNOT-FT) LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY     PCLDY     MCLEAR    PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
CHC PCPN (%)....0         0         10        10
TEMP............56        66        75        77
RH..............21        17        11        11
20 FT WIND DIR..NW        W         W         SW
20 FT WIND SPD..9         9         12        12
20 FT WIND GUST.10                  16
MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100    3500      15000     15500
TRANS WIND DIR..NW        W         S         S
TRANS WIND SPD..4         5         13        9
VENT CAT........POOR      POOR      EXCLNT    VYGOOD
HAINES INDEX....6         5         4         5

$$

FORECASTER...FAGEN
REQUESTED BY...DEWEY WATSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120502.LIVER.02/MAF