FNUS74 KMAF 022232 FWSMAF SPOT FORECAST FOR LIVERMORE RANCH COMPLEX...TFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 532 PM CDT WED MAY 2 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1617 MDT ON MAY 02. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS AND LIGHTNING DANGER. .DISCUSSION... A HIGH HAINES INDEX THROUGH TOMORROW WILL LEAD TO INSTABILITY NEAR ON-GOING FIRES. THIS INSTABILITY WILL COMBINE WITH AN INCREASE IN MOISTURE ALOFT TO PRODUCE A FEW DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES IN OR NEAR THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS THURSDAY AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE...OVERNIGHT RH RECOVERY WILL BE POOR WITH AFTERNOON RH VALUES DROPPING TO AROUND 10 PERCENT. WIND SPEEDS SHOULD DECREASE AROUND MIDNIGHT...WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH RETURNING BY MIDDAY THURSDAY. AN OUTLOOK FOR THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY HAS BEEN ADDED. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55. MAX HUMIDITY........21-31 PCT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. HAINES INDEX........6 (HIGH). SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (182000 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR (1900 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. LAL.................1. CHANCE OF PRECIP....10 PERCENT. TIME (MDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM SKY (%).........MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE CHC PCPN (%)....10 10 0 0 TEMP............78 68 62 58 RH..............8 16 28 24 20 FT WIND DIR..W W SW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..15 10 12 14 20 FT WIND GUST.20 15 20 MIX HGT (FT)....13000 500 BLW100 BLW100 TRANS WIND DIR..SW W SW NW TRANS WIND SPD..14 5 7 9 VENT CAT........EXCLNT POOR POOR POOR LAL.............1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX....6 6 6 6 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79. MIN HUMIDITY........11 PCT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. HAINES INDEX........6 (HIGH). SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (17200 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (194000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO EXCELLENT (134500 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................1. CHANCE OF PRECIP....10 PERCENT. TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE CHC PCPN (%)....0 0 10 10 TEMP............56 66 75 77 RH..............21 17 11 11 20 FT WIND DIR..NW W W SW 20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 12 10 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100 3500 15000 15500 TRANS WIND DIR..NW W S S TRANS WIND SPD..4 5 13 9 VENT CAT........POOR POOR EXCLNT VYGOOD LAL.............1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX....6 5 4 5 .OUTLOOK... .THURSDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....53 TO 58. MAX HUMIDITY........40-50 PCT. WIND 20FT...........SOUTH 10 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PCT. HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH. WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....85 TO 90. MIN HUMIDITY........10-15 PCT. WIND 20FT...........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PCT. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. WIND 10000 FT MSL...SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......15500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 KNOTS. VENTILATION CAT.....POOR IN THE MORNING IMPROVING TO EXCELLENT/150000 KNOT-FT IN THE AFTERNOON. $$ FORECASTER...FAGEN REQUESTED BY...KIM SOPER TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20120502.LIVER.03/MAF