FNUS72 KMLB 030100
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR NOVA ROAD   ROCKWOOD...FHP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
900 PM EDT WED MAY 2 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2030 EDT ON MAY 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE ATMOSPHERIC SETUP WILL BE SIMILAR TO LAST NIGHT.
EXPECT A GRADUAL DECREASE IN EAST-SOUTHEAST WINDS THROUGHOUT THE
EVENING AND ESPECIALLY OVERNIGHT.  THE MAX LVORI IS ONLY FORECAST
TO BE ABOUT 7, PERHAPS AN 8, DUE TO THE FACT THAT MAX RH VALUES
ARE FORECAST TO ONLY REACH THE LOW-MID 90S. THE EXTENT OF SMOKE
SETTLING WILL BE HIGHLY DEPENDENT UPON THE AMOUNT OF SMOKE THAT
THE FIRE RETAINS OVERNIGHT. AREAS IMMEDIATELY DOWNSTREAM (WNW) OF
THE RESIDUAL SMOKE PLUME WILL BE PRONE TO SOME SETTLING OF SMOKE.
THE MOST LIKELY TIME FRAME FOR THIS WOULD BE BETWEEN 5 AND 8 AM...
IF IT OCCURS.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS DECREASING TO 5 TO 7 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-400 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 14 TO 18 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND
                    5 MPH LATE IN THE NIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....5.
LVORI...............7.

TIME (EDT)      9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM
SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............76  73  72  72  71  71  70  69  69  70  71  72
RH..............71  79  81  81  84  84  87  90  90  87  84  84
20 FT WIND DIR..ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE ESE SE  SE  SE  ESE
20 FT WIND SPD..9   9   8   7   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  10

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3400-5000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....52.
LVORI...............0.

$$
FORECASTER...CRISTALDI
REQUESTED BY...SGT  J L  CROSBY
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20120502.NOVAR.01/MLB