FNUS73 KMPX 021542 FWSMPX SPOT FORECAST FOR PFS...FWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 1042 AM CDT WED MAY 2 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1500 CDT ON MAY 02. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... MORNING LOW CLOUDS DISSIPATE BEFORE NOON WITH SCATTERED CUMULUS THEN DEVELOPING. WIND DIRECTION WILL BE RATHER TRICKY...BUT LIGHT SOUTHWEST WINDS SHOULD TREND MORE WEST EARLY AFTERNOON AND THEN BECOME VARIABLE....TURNING SOUTHEAST LATE. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL RETURN THIS EVENING INTO THURSDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. TEMPERATURE.........77 AT IGNITION...MAX 78. RH..................48 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 47 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST TO SOUTHWEST AT 4 MPH AT IGNITION... OTHERWISE VARIBLE 5 MPH OR LESS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 4 MPH LATE. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE AT IGNITION...MAX 5. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (22200-31800). MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4900-6000 FT AGL. MIXING WINDS........WEST 3 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... CHC LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............74 77 78 77 70 64 RH..............53 48 47 48 63 78 20 FT WIND......W 4 SW 2 SE 4 SE 5 SE 5 SE 7 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 10 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY THROUGH THE NIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 60. RH..................MAX 93 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 78. RH..................MIN 52 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW TO OR MODERATE. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (3000-49400) INCREASING TO FAIR TO EXCELLENT (28400-73500) IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-3600 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 4100-6000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 2200 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING WINDS........WEST 13 TO 17 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...PAULSON REQUESTED BY...JOEL KEMM TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120502.PFS__.01/MPX