FNUS71 KRNK 021241 FWSRNK SPOT FORECAST FOR HUNGRY MOTHER - CCC...VA DCR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 841 AM EDT WED MAY 2 2012 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON MAY 02. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A FRONTAL BOUNDARY ALONG THE MASON DIXON LINE TODAY WILL SERVE AS THE FOCUS FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS. EXPECT THAT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BEGIN TO DEVELOP AS EARLY AS 11 AM ACROSS THE MOUNTAIN EMPIRE...BUT WILL DEVELOP IN SPOTTY HIT AND MISS FASHION RATHER THAN DEVELOPING IN A LINE. STORMS WILL INCREASE IN INTENSITY HEADING INTO THE AFTERNOON...AND EXPECT TO SEE A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AREA BY 2 PM. DRY AIR IN THE MID LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE SUGGESTS THAT THUNDERSTORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL OF PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS BUT LARGE HAIL AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING ALSO WILL BE THREATS. WINDS ALOFT ARE STRONG ENOUGH THAT BELIEVE STORMS WILL KEEP MOVING AS OPPOSED TO SITTING OVER ANY SINGLE AREA FOR A LONG PERIOD OF TIME. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86. MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING WEST 6 TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE. CWR (0.01 IN).......20 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 8700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 1 TO 7 MPH...INCREASING TO WEST 13 TO 22 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).............44 47 50 48 WEATHER COV.........S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTM COV............S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC TEMP................76 79 82 84 RH..................53 46 40 35 20 FT WIND..........W 6 W 5 W 4 W 4 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 10 10 10 CWR.................20 20 20 20 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63. MAX HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......6300 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH 3 TO 5 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............44 35 28 25 25 22 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................83 78 74 71 68 65 RH..................41 51 58 63 68 74 20 FT WIND..........W 3 SW 1 SW 0 S 0 S 0 S 0 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 CWR.................10 10 10 10 10 10 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87. MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE LATE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE. CWR (0.01 IN).......20 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 9800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 9 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............25 31 46 45 34 34 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTM COV............ TEMP................64 68 75 80 83 85 RH..................79 69 56 47 40 37 20 FT WIND..........S 1 SW 2 W 4 W 4 W 4 SW 3 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 10 10 10 5 CWR.................10 10 10 10 10 10 $$ FORECASTER...FILLO REQUESTED BY...FORREST ATWOOD TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20120502.HUNGR.01/RNK