FNUS73 KUNR 021715
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR KYLE RX...PINE RIDGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
1115 AM MDT WED MAY 2 2012

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 MDT ON MAY 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CROSS THE AREA TODAY
BRINGING CHANCES FOR AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS. WINDS WILL BE GUSTY
FROM THE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE ARE
LATE THIS EVENING BRINGING SLIGHTLY COOLER WEATHER THURSDAY ALONG
WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. RELATIVELY LOW MIXING HEIGHTS ARE
EXPECTED TO COMBINE WITH LIGHT TRANSPORT WINDS TO RESULT IN POOR
SMOKE DISPERSAL.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........72 AT IGNITION...MAX 76.
RH..................49 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH/SOUTHWEST AT 7 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH/SOUTHWEST
                    WINDS 7 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 14 TO
                    18 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................9 PERCENT INCREASING TO 28 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900 TO 6900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 20 TO
                    26 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD INCREASING TO EXCELLENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE EVENING.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 46.
RH..................MAX 93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST 8 TO 13 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 TO 700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 25 TO 29 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT DECREASING TO POOR.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 72.
RH..................MIN 27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON
                    BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING EAST 5 TO 8 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 TO 4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 21 TO 29 MPH DECREASING TO 8 TO 16 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE EAST
                    3 TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

$$
FORECASTER...CALDERON
REQUESTED BY...TAMARA RANDALL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120502.KYLER.01/UNR