FNAK79 PAFG 031601 AAA
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR DTAE JARVIS CREEK  BAX...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
801 AM AKDT THU MAY 3 2012

UPDATED WINDS TONIGHT

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 AKDT ON MAY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...WEAK SOUTHERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON
AND CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY. A WEAK THERMAL TROUGH WILL DEVELOP IN
THE AREA FRIDAY WHICH WILL DECREASE THE STABILITY AND LEAD TO
ISOLATED AFTERNOON SHOWERS.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........36 AT IGNITION...MAX 44.
RH..................42 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 4 TO 7 MPH INCREASING TO 9 TO 15 MPH
                    BY MID AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL AT IGNITION...RISING TO 7600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST INCREASING TO 8 TO 12 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 24.
RH..................MAX 86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 7 TO 11 MPH DIMINISHING TO 3 TO 5 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7600 FT AGL FALLING TO 3600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    AFTERNOON RAIN SHOWERS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 49.
RH..................MIN 32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 9 MPH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...BERG
REQUESTED BY...PATRICK JOHNSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20120503.DTAEJ.02/AFG